TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd986…1320backed Yes11c11,470$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.361010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-85.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes8c3,915$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b5…63abbacked Yes3c2,119$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb826…2606backed No63c2,086$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.71020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x367a…c478backed Yes1c2,030$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes5c1,188$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.818311.5%21 W · 162 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3b…ce3bbacked Yes1c1,031$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c54…1d08backed No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20f2…a981backed Yes36c906.07$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58ac…cfa0backed Yes25c825.93$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40fe…3bfdbacked Yes50c699.25$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…00f9backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b2…07adbacked Yes22c462.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba64…f4c4backed Yes36c433.76$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes23c414.39$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1844843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked No65c372.03$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.216100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+111.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked No51c371.58$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.072733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5819…087fbacked No63c315.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.032339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…f10ebacked Yes48c312$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.76520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No41c289.66$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x796b…edf1backed Yes8c274.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x098f…47cdbacked No59c260.96$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.894052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1887…468ebacked Yes48c206.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked No61c204.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.852646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2eba…ffa3backed No67c200.14$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.055151%26 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes11c200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebf…a54cbacked Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa405…99acbacked Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.959850%49 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…87e3backed Yes55c181.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-49.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f0f…8aa5backed Yes45c167$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked No54c164$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.124450%22 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e0f…6e94backed Yes49c153.85$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338e…418cbacked Yes35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5760…0630backed Yes35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ad…1ee5backed Yes44c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4510backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8275…ef90backed Yes50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a64…6697backed Yes35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4486…f7c5backed Yes49c123.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d6…a63ebacked Yes42c120.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked No53c119$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.949157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd5…4ac0backed Yes47c113.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x164e…5eaabacked Yes44c113.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…7026backed No66c113.32$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3236945.3%167 W · 202 L+29.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x835b…7e13backed Yes45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c0…1c8ebacked No52c109.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.498241.5%34 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No54c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.654325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98d4…b067backed Yes48c103.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a38…e7cebacked Yes50c100.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7279…a05cbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cf9…0dc6backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e4d…07bdbacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes26c99.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8328828.5%82 W · 206 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No63c98.2$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.420148.8%98 W · 103 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755d…b807backed Yes53c95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…4207backed Yes15c93.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-67.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa8a…7edfbacked Yes33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…7edabacked Yes34c90$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7336…23e3backed Yes56c89.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28c…e3f2backed Yes38c85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…67aabacked No51c82.07$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc998…1cc2backed Yes35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x474a…537abacked Yes34c72.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked No59c68.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.387338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a20…aa86backed Yes47c63.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x633c…b6d1backed Yes48c63.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4293…8ae6backed Yes36c60.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed No52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbba9…e9bebacked Yes46c59.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No66c58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7615452.6%81 W · 73 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…047cbacked Yes35c57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dcd…a631backed No45c56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7f…a39abacked Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.953855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe506…aaadbacked Yes42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e6…1f7bbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d10…43d4backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abe…9c76backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22df…ac97backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f81…60e1backed Yes42c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b0…b620backed Yes34c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde5e…48a3backed Yes44c45.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…7348backed Yes45c44.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe72…4985backed Yes46c43.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82e…b971backed No56c42.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a77…a15cbacked Yes46c40.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…3efdbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x355d…4a31backed Yes42c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eae…2bb5backed No57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes58c34.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked No60c33.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes31c33.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3889317.1%153 W · 740 L-144.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-61.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xe523…f087backed No65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0cb…0a41backed Yes35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Yes38c29.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.252917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4b…fc98backed Yes48c27.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b9…c204backed Yes51c25.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b9…5fdebacked Yes45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.