MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b27c89ce394cbe745dd03c0fc7e26e7b80c5fa90182d02a1ccd066a69236942
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $359,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Tigers | 55c | 156,547$86,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,145.97 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 45c | 72,500$32,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,624.99 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb4…d892backed Guardians | 45c | 44,000$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Guardians | 44c | 24,576$10,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,813.43 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 38c | 15,867$6,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,004.74 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 23c | 15,539$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.92 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 45c | 13,785$6,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,203.25 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Guardians | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Tigers | 67c | 10,441$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.36 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 35c | 8,773$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…80f4backed Guardians | 0c | 7,781$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Tigers | 64c | 6,974$4,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.63 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 55c | 5,533$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.4 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 44c | 5,500$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Tigers | 55c | 5,460$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.76 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Tigers | 66c | 5,213$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.92 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Guardians | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 45c | 4,384$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.36 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Tigers | 55c | 3,923$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.35 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tigers | 55c | 3,900$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tigers | 55c | 3,771$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.19 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Guardians | 33c | 2,801$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.81 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Tigers | 78c | 2,785$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.59 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 39c | 2,398$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.22 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Tigers | 66c | 2,269$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.4 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers | 56c | 2,250$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.04 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Tigers | 68c | 2,209$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.95 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tigers | 56c | 2,000$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.3 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Tigers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Tigers | 73c | 1,975$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers | 57c | 1,856$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.42 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Guardians | 44c | 1,838$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.81 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Tigers | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.98 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers | 56c | 1,474$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.69 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Guardians | 39c | 1,444$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.2 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Guardians | 19c | 1,429$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.21 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…482fbacked Tigers | 70c | 1,236$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Tigers | 62c | 1,227$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.55 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Guardians | 39c | 1,207$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Tigers | 65c | 1,067$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.56 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Tigers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Tigers | 59c | 834.34$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.26 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e276backed Tigers | 62c | 783$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.54 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tigers | 56c | 777$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.88 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 26c | 764.81$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…b36cbacked Guardians | 31c | 665.03$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 43c | 660.87$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Tigers | 56c | 656.36$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.06 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 55c | 600$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Guardians | 44c | 599.99$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Tigers | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Guardians | 49c | 535.49$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.39 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Guardians | 33c | 533.33$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Tigers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Tigers | 55c | 500$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Guardians | 45c | 499.97$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Guardians | 44c | 477.67$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Tigers | 56c | 464.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Guardians | 34c | 424$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Guardians | 41c | 419.91$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.93 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Guardians | 45c | 406.37$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.17 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 36c | 399.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Tigers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Guardians | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 44c | 310.41$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians | 42c | 280.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Guardians | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Tigers | 64c | 255.95$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Guardians | 30c | 249.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Guardians | 44c | 246.77$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Tigers | 59c | 236.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 29c | 234.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Tigers | 57c | 227$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Tigers | 57c | 222.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tigers | 55c | 222$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Tigers | 56c | 208.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Tigers | 55c | 208$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Guardians | 12c | 207$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 56c | 205$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…6bf8backed Guardians | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Tigers | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Tigers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Tigers | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Tigers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Tigers | 56c | 144.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Guardians | 45c | 140.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Tigers | 54c | 137$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…a5babacked Tigers | 55c | 134.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Guardians | 13c | 128$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Tigers | 69c | 126$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Guardians | 32c | 119.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.