MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d2ae5bf5109ad45b0ebdb99a462db377dd9ee2558ccb1d289f6bf7c81dd034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Astros | 42c | 130,436$54,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,654.57 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Dodgers | 58c | 49,841$28,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,907.7 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers | 58c | 38,250$22,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,185.15 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Astros | 43c | 30,283$13,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,261.09 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Dodgers | 57c | 30,050$17,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,128.59 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Dodgers | 58c | 21,903$12,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,703.54 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 63c | 20,219$12,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,811.25 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dodgers | 57c | 13,198$7,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,522.86 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 42c | 12,849$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,334.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Astros | 42c | 12,005$5,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,962.66 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 30c | 11,403$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.19 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Astros | 72c | 11,222$8,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.05 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Dodgers | 57c | 10,551$6,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,014.13 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros | 34c | 9,374$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.08 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Astros | 29c | 9,187$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,546.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Astros | 34c | 8,265$2,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.69 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 58c | 7,010$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dodgers | 34c | 6,588$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.07 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Astros | 65c | 4,495$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.17 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Dodgers | 72c | 4,077$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.39 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 3,449$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Astros | 42c | 3,211$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.55 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Dodgers | 59c | 2,984$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.64 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Dodgers | 36c | 2,932$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.57 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Dodgers | 35c | 2,853$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.77 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 43c | 2,747$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.65 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Astros | 59c | 2,641$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Dodgers | 58c | 2,600$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Dodgers | 51c | 2,552$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.95 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Astros | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Astros | 77c | 2,341$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.94 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 47c | 2,289$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.69 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Dodgers | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e276backed Astros | 59c | 2,055$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.48 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Dodgers | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Dodgers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Astros | 52c | 1,905$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.84 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…c0d7backed Dodgers | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Astros | 51c | 1,564$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.85 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 43c | 1,537$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.09 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Astros | 43c | 1,510$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.92 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Dodgers | 11c | 1,456$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Dodgers | 38c | 1,424$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.72 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers | 44c | 1,353$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 16c | 1,229$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Astros | 35c | 1,100$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Dodgers | 45c | 1,082$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.13 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 42c | 949.94$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.97 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Dodgers | 34c | 909$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.44 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Dodgers | 26c | 771.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Astros | 77c | 771.31$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Dodgers | 74c | 677.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Dodgers | 45c | 664$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Dodgers | 58c | 662.87$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.46 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 60c | 636.19$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.29 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Dodgers | 21c | 614.08$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Astros | 29c | 600$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Dodgers | 27c | 591.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Dodgers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Dodgers | 25c | 561.76$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Astros | 27c | 559.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.47 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Astros | 61c | 545.01$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf909…2b17backed Astros | 64c | 544.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Astros | 44c | 522.56$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.63 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Dodgers | 44c | 518.14$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.67 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Astros | 62c | 503.69$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 43c | 501.71$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.98 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 47c | 483.04$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.13 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Dodgers | 54c | 468.33$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Astros | 44c | 458.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.63 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Dodgers | 49c | 449$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.19 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Astros | 42c | 447.9$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.78 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 443.69$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.78 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Dodgers | 56c | 441.5$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.24 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Dodgers | 57c | 435.1$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.01 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Dodgers | 58c | 430$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Dodgers | 57c | 429.82$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Dodgers | 61c | 424$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.21 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Astros | 42c | 407.07$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.61 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Dodgers | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Astros | 41c | 395.97$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.62 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…482fbacked Astros | 56c | 358.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Astros | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Astros | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Dodgers | 72c | 334.55$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.15 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Dodgers | 5c | 324$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 43c | 300$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Astros | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…340bbacked Dodgers | 72c | 291.13$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Dodgers | 19c | 289.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Astros | 45c | 275.56$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Dodgers | 31c | 263.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Dodgers | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Astros | 79c | 257.6$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Astros | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Astros | 44c | 247.89$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.