TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fritzof Fritz, Khachanov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$342,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$372,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4948…dd75backed Khachanov 25c60,495$15,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,298.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Khachanov 25c43,976$10,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,939.1716242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Fritz76c32,510$24,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,927.411230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Fritz75c29,019$21,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,314.543641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Khachanov 24c16,738$3,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,962.9912231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Khachanov 17c16,248$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.0428043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Khachanov 24c14,799$3,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,551.8139144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Khachanov 24c14,682$3,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,523.682317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f6c…40adbacked Fritz76c13,164$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,163.841070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fritz75c10,993$8,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,728.551,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Khachanov 7c8,913$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.191,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Fritz76c7,278$5,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.6732141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Fritz60c7,261$4,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.519130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Khachanov 17c5,610$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.161618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Fritz76c5,453$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.766376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Khachanov 24c4,633$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.9228828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fritz77c3,505$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.211,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0447…60abbacked Fritz76c3,460$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.462075%15 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Khachanov 25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d4d…c0cfbacked Fritz58c2,839$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.51650%8 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Khachanov 18c2,389$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0228933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Fritz77c2,190$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.7812038.3%46 W · 74 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47b1…1306backed Khachanov 39c2,168$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.844341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Fritz75c2,101$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.39652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Fritz74c2,017$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.525525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5732…9030backed Fritz78c1,999$1,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.655164.7%33 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Khachanov 39c1,858$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.142634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Fritz77c1,757$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.148831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3210…5c4ebacked Khachanov 22c1,667$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.662133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Khachanov 51c1,650$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.563435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6203…d744backed Khachanov 25c1,616$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.971513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-72.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…4446backed Khachanov 16c1,517$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.171241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Khachanov 15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22522021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Khachanov 13c1,444$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.127335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Khachanov 20c1,400$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.626039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Khachanov 17c1,351$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4331650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51e…7709backed Khachanov 15c1,292$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Khachanov 26c1,271$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.089348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…a496backed Khachanov 20c1,260$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.44940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Khachanov 25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Fritz76c1,175$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2826070%42 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Khachanov 48c1,135$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.9160053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Khachanov 9c1,100$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9818740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Khachanov 34c1,100$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3793447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Khachanov 25c1,092$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.648718.4%16 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Khachanov 24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Khachanov 24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Khachanov 23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23015452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Fritz74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26011652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Fritz73c910$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.8543948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed Khachanov 4c783.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.351533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+274.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Fritz75c780.4$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.148851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Khachanov 26c755.19$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.352157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbdfb…e569backed Fritz76c720.76$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.981275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbcd…d75bbacked Khachanov 15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-81.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb61…58ffbacked Fritz76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.89520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf884…f5b2backed Fritz77c622.19$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.11172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91db…9b6ebacked Khachanov 26c603.85$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15770%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0722…d131backed Fritz64c508.71$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.611457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Fritz70c503.22$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.218231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Khachanov 39c500$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d30…b2b3backed Khachanov 36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Khachanov 25c499.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.991,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Fritz73c444.55$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.596540%26 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Khachanov 24c418.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Khachanov 24c415$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.63056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Fritz75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10051243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Khachanov 25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked Khachanov 24c399.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Khachanov 25c399.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Khachanov 10c389$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.42657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Fritz52c386.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8511060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa5e1…9c10backed Fritz80c376.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.237061.4%43 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1578…fa2cbacked Fritz75c341.37$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.341478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b23…1448backed Fritz80c337.77$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.399570.5%67 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8426…74e6backed Fritz74c326.61$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.613100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Fritz76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7217867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Khachanov 26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Fritz68c295.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.421233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b8d…d6afbacked Fritz75c286.85$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Fritz58c280$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.72864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…fd58backed Khachanov 14c277.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dd…6a9ebacked Khachanov 27c273.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Fritz76c270.83$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.566530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x680b…57efbacked Khachanov 13c261.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Khachanov 31c256.96$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.212954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb575…2090backed Khachanov 14c256.06$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7440%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…b28abacked Fritz72c250$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Khachanov 22c245$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5524529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d98…af0ebacked Khachanov 21c233.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Fritz60c229.21$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.213638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd02…60e0backed Khachanov 12c225$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.254845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Khachanov 25c213.62$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4120431.4%64 W · 140 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05be…6cdbbacked Khachanov 27c204.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.23714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-76.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Fritz75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5028543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Fritz76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4862952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Fritz75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Fritz74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+40.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Khachanov 26c196$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.962748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc497…48cfbacked Khachanov 26c190$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.