MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2135968693250fd69c66459360a5e80bc284e19fe3be8a3171578ae8a6fe8538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rays | 62c | 25,520$15,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,822.49 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 38c | 23,000$8,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,260 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Athletics | 39c | 21,358$8,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,030.87 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rays | 61c | 12,976$7,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,915.52 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 37c | 7,486$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.56 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 60c | 5,338$3,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,183.06 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Rays | 62c | 4,859$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf749…9991backed Athletics | 40c | 4,744$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 47c | 3,849$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.48 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Rays | 62c | 3,450$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.18 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Rays | 63c | 3,200$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.91 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 45c | 3,094$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rays | 64c | 3,000$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.34 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Athletics | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0376…4c5abacked Rays | 60c | 2,750$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays | 62c | 2,294$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.39 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Rays | 60c | 2,111$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.6 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 38c | 2,100$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rays | 31c | 2,045$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.25 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb55…6f2fbacked Rays | 60c | 1,994$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 38c | 1,909$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.72 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 40c | 1,865$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.42 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Rays | 61c | 1,833$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.35 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Rays | 35c | 1,800$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 34c | 1,739$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.27 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Athletics | 34c | 1,500$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.78 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Athletics | 40c | 1,321$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.75 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 60c | 1,300$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.97 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 38c | 1,295$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…3c0cbacked Rays | 61c | 1,146$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rays | 4c | 1,118$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rays | 77c | 1,112$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.75 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Rays | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…45f6backed Athletics | 39c | 1,110$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Rays | 78c | 1,100$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0abf…e18bbacked Athletics | 39c | 1,090$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Athletics | 46c | 1,079$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Athletics | 25c | 1,054$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.71 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…1e99backed Rays | 61c | 1,054$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rays | 3c | 1,050$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…2416backed Athletics | 40c | 1,038$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…2e0cbacked Rays | 60c | 1,030$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ce…7d8bbacked Rays | 60c | 995$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…efe2backed Athletics | 40c | 988$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Rays | 53c | 886.56$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.76 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Athletics | 37c | 835$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.39 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 31c | 817.31$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.13 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Athletics | 49c | 815.69$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.24 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Rays | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Athletics | 34c | 760$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Rays | 61c | 700$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rays | 61c | 660.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rays | 61c | 656$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.16 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Rays | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 39c | 625.77$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.86 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Athletics | 58c | 590.18$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.44 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 33c | 562.4$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.81 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Rays | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Athletics | 58c | 497.64$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.91 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Athletics | 55c | 433.37$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.37 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 38c | 414$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.68 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rays | 74c | 413.33$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 60c | 413.22$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.93 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Rays | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Athletics | 37c | 399.98$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Athletics | 58c | 397.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 64c | 391.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Athletics | 51c | 391.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.55 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 38c | 356.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.33 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Athletics | 51c | 355.01$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Rays | 55c | 337.04$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Athletics | 45c | 308.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rays | 30c | 305.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Rays | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Athletics | 47c | 299.16$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.16 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 39c | 269.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Athletics | 52c | 269.7$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Athletics | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Rays | 66c | 250$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.94 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Athletics | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Rays | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Athletics | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Athletics | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Athletics | 40c | 248.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Athletics | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 9c | 225.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.41 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Athletics | 29c | 225.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rays | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics | 39c | 199.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…c5e1backed Athletics | 38c | 190.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Athletics | 63c | 180.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.26 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Rays | 62c | 177.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Rays | 42c | 176.79$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 57c | 173.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rays | 32c | 172.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.