Us Midterms · resolved market
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb46039f253879f1e7875bb1e6213df7e77d0b5a142fa4623500bbee40b8a1e24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 10c | 16,245$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 34c | 7,217$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 66c | 6,666$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed No | 7c | 6,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 35c | 6,095$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 18c | 2,740$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.4 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 63c | 2,325$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 23c | 2,222$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f11…18e3backed No | 7c | 1,965$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed Yes | 69c | 1,838$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 24c | 1,703$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.89 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 9c | 1,633$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked No | 32c | 1,564$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed No | 39c | 1,384$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed No | 26c | 1,186$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…874fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,066$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked No | 27c | 1,034$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 48c | 1,024$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked No | 17c | 1,008$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 63c | 957.99$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.4 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +300.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 76c | 922$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07c…a638backed Yes | 60c | 867.25$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 41c | 788$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.12 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 74c | 732.21$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 51c | 623.26$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.63 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7895…f3ffbacked Yes | 79c | 588.83$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f96…c771backed No | 22c | 555.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…63dabacked No | 31c | 548$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf1…3dd4backed Yes | 69c | 539.86$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked No | 23c | 528.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed No | 29c | 527.19$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 15c | 519$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 67c | 509$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked No | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 28c | 483.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed No | 33c | 477.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…5a1dbacked Yes | 70c | 454.91$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…8211backed Yes | 65c | 435$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed No | 37c | 429$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.53 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…dd0cbacked No | 32c | 410$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 73c | 388.15$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 373.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d37…2f72backed No | 34c | 355.88$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed Yes | 71c | 355$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…db98backed No | 34c | 340$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 66c | 338.75$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…1328backed No | 36c | 336.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Yes | 67c | 300.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96cf…8408backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…bb62backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 13c | 299.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 76c | 289.05$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 18c | 282.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 15c | 272.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d08…733dbacked No | 36c | 213.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 76c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…3082backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 72c | 195$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7a12backed No | 7c | 180.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…407cbacked Yes | 71c | 165.87$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 63c | 159.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…6f18backed No | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…baa2backed No | 35c | 144.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed No | 15c | 137.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Yes | 74c | 136.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…450abacked No | 55c | 127.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 25c | 121.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 11c | 101.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb318…2714backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4746…920fbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 39c | 89.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…16a5backed Yes | 57c | 88.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…39b1backed No | 17c | 81.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…6ce6backed Yes | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Yes | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ade…7624backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 64c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…fdf3backed No | 43c | 67.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Yes | 71c | 61.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef5…1a76backed No | 33c | 61.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…8b0dbacked No | 38c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…1ab2backed No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed No | 35c | 55.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…8a8cbacked Yes | 65c | 55.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d7…5762backed No | 40c | 52.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed No | 24c | 47.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2748backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 50c | 40.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 57c | 35.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…61febacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?this page
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31? Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?No won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? No won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by Memorial day? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.