Us Midterms · resolved market
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95cef042e3d63c6169d43b6a8ebc93167879e478a895b8b05ee34d5d3d885a51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 57c | 49,192$27,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,292.29 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 46c | 12,296$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,634.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 41c | 10,337$4,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.96 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked No | 11c | 8,026$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +1,840.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 43c | 7,887$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.48 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 59c | 7,022$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…288cbacked No | 34c | 5,600$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 25c | 4,524$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 46c | 4,465$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 28c | 4,379$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.49 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked No | 15c | 4,261$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked No | 49c | 4,203$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 51c | 3,980$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.32 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 8c | 3,876$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.68 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed No | 24c | 3,831$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…2846backed No | 56c | 3,512$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 74c | 3,215$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 0c | 3,069$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 64c | 3,014$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.38 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 53c | 2,959$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.51 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 63c | 2,855$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 44c | 2,823$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 29c | 2,771$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 23c | 2,698$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.21 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…2422backed No | 11c | 2,610$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed No | 30c | 2,550$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 4c | 2,497$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 5c | 2,215$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95f…92f9backed Yes | 75c | 2,124$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa292…2a5cbacked Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +261.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…f308backed Yes | 71c | 1,978$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf473…a595backed Yes | 64c | 1,872$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016b…98d1backed No | 13c | 1,819$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed No | 59c | 1,763$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c614backed No | 41c | 1,685$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 66c | 1,520$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2040…7743backed No | 45c | 1,519$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,513$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.87 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed No | 45c | 1,498$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,466$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.64 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…725ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,357$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed No | 33c | 1,259$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed No | 28c | 1,244$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…11bcbacked No | 48c | 1,208$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 39c | 1,200$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 34c | 1,183$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.64 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 6c | 1,143$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 60c | 1,111$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.6 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…63dabacked No | 44c | 1,101$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…7f7cbacked No | 57c | 1,065$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7a12backed No | 10c | 1,045$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…a683backed No | 8c | 1,035$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed No | 51c | 1,010$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.46 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 50c | 1,007$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 28c | 1,000$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.21 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed No | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…c89dbacked No | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 62c | 981.63$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…616cbacked No | 33c | 967.05$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…ff01backed No | 50c | 870$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…9094backed No | 38c | 851.85$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 41c | 816$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.74 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…1d41backed No | 51c | 780.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed No | 18c | 777.42$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 23c | 715.26$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472a…a9a5backed No | 55c | 699.91$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked No | 70c | 683.13$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d37…2f72backed No | 34c | 675.57$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 68c | 660.52$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked No | 45c | 639.62$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…407cbacked No | 32c | 631.42$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…8b32backed Yes | 72c | 631$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…8ff0backed No | 44c | 630.41$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…8211backed No | 44c | 606.3$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f7…4ce6backed No | 8c | 600$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 22c | 599.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Yes | 74c | 599.99$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…05cfbacked Yes | 61c | 587.58$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 27c | 561.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 41c | 550$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked No | 40c | 532.68$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…cd8bbacked No | 48c | 519.83$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked No | 41c | 500$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d08…733dbacked No | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 33c | 495$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 61c | 494.77$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed No | 36c | 493.53$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed No | 43c | 474.94$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.78 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 35c | 472$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3469…d62fbacked No | 60c | 463.32$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed No | 44c | 454.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked Yes | 67c | 450.59$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…cc26backed Yes | 55c | 445.17$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 24c | 437.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed Yes | 60c | 432.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 22c | 426.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked No | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?this page
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31? Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?No won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? No won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by Memorial day? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.