Us Midterms · resolved market
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcacb92d349abb06aa30518fa60a3f12f6f014e85bca4a255d0b5ad4c38c6731d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 9c | 30,790$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.76 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…616cbacked Yes | 7c | 10,061$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 77c | 8,143$6,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.64 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 18c | 7,855$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.24 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 7,325$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 17c | 6,437$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 23c | 5,972$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked No | 77c | 5,833$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…f727backed Yes | 7c | 5,469$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 12c | 4,900$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 17c | 4,471$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 10c | 4,423$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 17c | 4,417$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.56 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 9c | 3,473$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 15c | 3,421$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.4 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3c32backed Yes | 3c | 3,201$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 16c | 3,034$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.46 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 9c | 2,706$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 12c | 2,627$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.62 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 14cpaid | +183.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,475$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,449$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 9c | 2,294$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.03 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,273$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.02 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 79c | 2,258$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 9c | 2,248$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.58 | 180 | 26.1%47 W · 133 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,100$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae2…d63ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,092$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 17c | 1,702$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 7c | 1,595$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 1,220$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde5b…9e50backed Yes | 8c | 1,208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes | 18c | 1,191$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662f…ac37backed No | 79c | 1,168$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 76c | 1,165$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.93 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 13c | 1,119$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,050$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 20c | 951.22$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 7c | 926.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 902.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 19c | 847$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed Yes | 15c | 835.77$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 20c | 768.41$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c74…ba3fbacked Yes | 14c | 744.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 4c | 739.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 18c | 737.39$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…5317backed Yes | 24c | 730$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 19c | 659.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked Yes | 30c | 658.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 25c | 647.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -78%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 5c | 642.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 9c | 632.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +480.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 55c | 613.34$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.31 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 605.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 581.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 26c | 569.21$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…c18abacked Yes | 19c | 526.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15c…10d3backed Yes | 67c | 526.31$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990f…7c08backed Yes | 16c | 521.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 7c | 500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…3197backed Yes | 10c | 500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 4c | 497$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 65c | 478.57$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…f752backed Yes | 7c | 433$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…9a7dbacked Yes | 9c | 428.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Yes | 16c | 383.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 33c | 370.69$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 37c | 370.61$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 13c | 364.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 4c | 360.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Yes | 26c | 341.26$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…7926backed No | 77c | 326.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 14c | 299.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Yes | 4c | 285.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 14c | 285.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a68…57c2backed No | 76c | 275.08$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 7c | 273.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 8c | 249.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…5037backed Yes | 8c | 245.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 11c | 239.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 10c | 234.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fb…26ccbacked Yes | 28c | 230$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe501…df65backed Yes | 4c | 224.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…45fdbacked Yes | 11c | 221.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…320ebacked Yes | 17c | 221.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…e533backed Yes | 17c | 221$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…ec40backed Yes | 32c | 218.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 32c | 217$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3385…4217backed Yes | 9c | 216$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 7c | 213.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 7c | 198.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8a…ddc0backed Yes | 7c | 196$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? this page
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31? Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 2?No won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 5?Yes won
- Will reconciliation bill be passed by Memorial day? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.