Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Alexandrova vs. Bencic (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e6e098e70d4cc82e45299268a753f985d0f38cd223fdb8a0bd9712c03df17e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bencic of Alexandrova, Bencic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Alexandrova | 65c | 25,826$16,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,786.61 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bencic | 36c | 17,109$6,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,928.52 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Bencic | 35c | 9,962$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,472.13 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bencic | 35c | 9,421$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,081.85 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Bencic | 55c | 9,330$5,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.45 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Alexandrova | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Alexandrova | 70c | 2,969$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.85 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…91f9backed Bencic | 52c | 2,905$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Alexandrova | 64c | 2,600$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.99 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Alexandrova | 56c | 2,311$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Alexandrova | 33c | 1,410$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.83 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…53e9backed Alexandrova | 65c | 1,025$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Alexandrova | 61c | 700$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Alexandrova | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Bencic | 34c | 598.82$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.22 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Bencic | 37c | 582$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.92 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Bencic | 33c | 531.32$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.55 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Alexandrova | 64c | 503.62$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.01 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Alexandrova | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alexandrova | 49c | 477$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.63 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Bencic | 35c | 456.66$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.83 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Alexandrova | 7c | 444$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Alexandrova | 47c | 429.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 188 | 39.9%75 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Bencic | 44c | 427.49$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.21 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Alexandrova | 8c | 416.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Alexandrova | 27c | 402.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Alexandrova | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f6eabacked Alexandrova | 31c | 375.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Alexandrova | 65c | 360$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Alexandrova | 65c | 350$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Bencic | 36c | 344.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.74 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Alexandrova | 65c | 334.32$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.31 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…6a9ebacked Bencic | 36c | 307.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Alexandrova | 65c | 307.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Alexandrova | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Alexandrova | 65c | 301$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Alexandrova | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Alexandrova | 65c | 300$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Bencic | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bencic | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Alexandrova | 65c | 294.09$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -35%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Bencic | 76c | 289.47$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bencic | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bencic | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…f4bcbacked Bencic | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Alexandrova | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Bencic | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Bencic | 36c | 199.18$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.86 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…933abacked Alexandrova | 66c | 187.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.63 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Alexandrova | 45c | 186.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Bencic | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Bencic | 36c | 139$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Alexandrova | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Alexandrova | 65c | 118.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Bencic | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Alexandrova | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Alexandrova | 57c | 96.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Alexandrova | 64c | 94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bencic | 35c | 77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Alexandrova | 65c | 67.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Alexandrova | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Alexandrova | 45c | 63.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Bencic | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Bencic | 48c | 53.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Alexandrova | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Bencic | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Alexandrova | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Bencic | 35c | 43.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…6faebacked Alexandrova | 25c | 43.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…d662backed Alexandrova | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Bencic | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Bencic | 36c | 41.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Alexandrova | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea14…edc5backed Bencic | 35c | 39.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Alexandrova | 64c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x393d…7084backed Bencic | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Bencic | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2c…58e5backed Bencic | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…7001backed Bencic | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Alexandrova | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Bencic | 37c | 27.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.