MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5468dc8b024034f9be52acd2e3c18e235daf85a0e8d9f451756815e0fb4870a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Brewers | 49c | 258,294$127,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,222.61 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 51c | 87,500$44,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,450 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 51c | 40,000$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 50c | 37,231$18,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,655.09 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 46c | 29,914$13,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,765.38 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Brewers | 47c | 27,160$12,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,510.53 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 51c | 25,954$13,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,124.04 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 52c | 23,120$12,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,022.26 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 50c | 20,021$10,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,004.62 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Brewers | 75c | 15,878$11,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.32 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 50c | 8,940$4,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,457.38 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Marlins | 36c | 7,459$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.2 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 25c | 6,103$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Marlins | 16c | 5,976$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.19 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins | 50c | 5,676$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.47 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Marlins | 38c | 4,983$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.93 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 22c | 4,121$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Marlins | 50c | 3,574$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.88 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Brewers | 79c | 3,556$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.92 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Brewers | 71c | 3,528$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.14 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 50c | 3,328$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.2 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Marlins | 42c | 2,850$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.5 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Marlins | 52c | 2,657$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.64 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 50c | 2,403$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.04 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Marlins | 51c | 2,352$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.52 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Brewers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…08bdbacked Brewers | 53c | 1,270$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcedc…7351backed Marlins | 47c | 1,270$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 50c | 1,250$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.49 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Marlins | 34c | 1,224$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.62 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 48c | 1,133$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.81 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Brewers | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers | 49c | 910.12$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.7 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Marlins | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Brewers | 47c | 722.43$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.85 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marlins | 4c | 680$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 45c | 665.79$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.55 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Brewers | 50c | 598.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 51c | 574.18$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 26c | 508.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Marlins | 50c | 475$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Marlins | 26c | 474.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Brewers | 49c | 435.43$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.47 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Brewers | 53c | 396.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.59 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Brewers | 53c | 381.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Brewers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Marlins | 30c | 305.05$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Marlins | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 48c | 299.84$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Brewers | 74c | 293.05$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Marlins | 29c | 286.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 51c | 252$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Marlins | 41c | 251.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…9743backed Brewers | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Marlins | 25c | 219.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 47c | 212.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Brewers | 52c | 209$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Marlins | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Marlins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 53c | 206.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Marlins | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Brewers | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Marlins | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Marlins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Marlins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Marlins | 49c | 186.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 27c | 186$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Brewers | 50c | 160$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Marlins | 51c | 152$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 52c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 43c | 142.06$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Marlins | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Brewers | 73c | 120.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Brewers | 51c | 118$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Brewers | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Brewers | 47c | 109.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…613cbacked Brewers | 75c | 109.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Marlins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Brewers | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Marlins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Marlins | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 52c | 96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 25c | 83.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Marlins | 29c | 76.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Marlins | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked Marlins | 48c | 58.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 34c | 57.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.