Tennis · resolved market
ATP Kitzbuhel: Misolic vs. Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x532ed9cd36a258a22df91fc75a4f1315919b0afb0fe1b9997e221182537a9728
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misolicof Misolic, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Misolic | 45c | 48,852$21,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,984.89 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Etcheverry | 57c | 24,383$13,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,866.57 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…a7aabacked Etcheverry | 53c | 20,326$10,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,772.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Etcheverry | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Misolic | 45c | 4,039$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.88 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Etcheverry | 33c | 3,782$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.31 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Etcheverry | 33c | 3,638$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Misolic | 52c | 3,500$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.99 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Misolic | 44c | 2,507$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Etcheverry | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Etcheverry | 28c | 927.07$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.38 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Etcheverry | 51c | 924$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.46 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Misolic | 50c | 916.52$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.45 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Etcheverry | 58c | 838.14$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.19 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Misolic | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Misolic | 67c | 552$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.26 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Misolic | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Etcheverry | 51c | 389.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Etcheverry | 44c | 363.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Etcheverry | 61c | 328.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Misolic | 65c | 271.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…8121backed Etcheverry | 57c | 250.25$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…c0cfbacked Misolic | 52c | 248.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Etcheverry | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Etcheverry | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Misolic | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Etcheverry | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…c61bbacked Etcheverry | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Misolic | 52c | 192.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Misolic | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Etcheverry | 63c | 182.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Misolic | 48c | 180.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Etcheverry | 59c | 170.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.54 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Etcheverry | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Etcheverry | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Misolic | 47c | 139.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Misolic | 52c | 130.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Misolic | 79c | 126.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Etcheverry | 45c | 118$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Misolic | 44c | 116.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Etcheverry | 50c | 108.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Etcheverry | 26c | 107.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked Misolic | 74c | 85.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…8a16backed Etcheverry | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Misolic | 39c | 83.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Etcheverry | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…f55fbacked Etcheverry | 53c | 82.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Etcheverry | 50c | 81.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Misolic | 58c | 77.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Misolic | 46c | 75.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Etcheverry | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Etcheverry | 49c | 70.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Misolic | 52c | 61.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Misolic | 46c | 60.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed Misolic | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Etcheverry | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Etcheverry | 61c | 59.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74f…9051backed Misolic | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Misolic | 52c | 54.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Etcheverry | 27c | 52.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Misolic | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Misolic | 52c | 33.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Etcheverry | 71c | 31.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Misolic | 48c | 27.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Etcheverry | 69c | 26.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Etcheverry | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Etcheverry | 63c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Etcheverry | 55c | 23.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Etcheverry | 52c | 22.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Etcheverry | 55c | 22.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Etcheverry | 59c | 18.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.