TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x798c…88d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT5658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$6.65
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.32
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$15
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$29.84
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.65
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.2
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+147.2%+$48.39
Cardinals vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11.9
White Sox vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$6.94
Giants vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.26
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.76
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.63
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.77
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+128.3%+$52.72
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.22
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$8.07
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$15.75
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+56.7%+$40.71
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.21
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.94
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+134%+$14.22
Yankees vs. Cardinalsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$7.61
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.67
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$6.69
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.15
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Winston Salem - Korda vs. Fucsovicsbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.89
ATP Cincinnati - Atmane vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.85
ATP Cincinnati - Tiafoe vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$16.68
ATP Washington D.C – Shelton vs. Tiafoebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$5.59
ATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.7
ATP Washington D.C – Williams vs. Frech (W)backed Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+32.1%+$3.57
ATP Kitzbuhel: Misolic vs. Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.83
Nordea Open: Darderi vs. De Jongbacked De Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.13
Swiss Open: Zahraj vs. Burruchagabacked Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.07
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$11.12
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$3.74
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$5.57
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$11.53
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+235%+$24.19
Wimbledon: Ruse vs. Keys (W) backed Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$3.23
Wimbledon: Fearnley vs. Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$5.59
Mallorca Championships: Moutet vs. Altmaierbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+77.5%+$17.04
Boss Open: Zverev vs. Shelton backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+91.3%+$12.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$5.78
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.53
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.88
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$13.26
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.98
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.39
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.72
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.58
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$4.27
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.96
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+57.5%+$7.12
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.83
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+73%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+246%+$24.89
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria beat Romania?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+48.5%+$4.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Jets backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.