TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Reds vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Redsof Reds, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$351,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$406,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Reds57c57,799$33,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,798.9628646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa0b…4908backed Reds51c48,617$24,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,642.232373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Angels47c38,183$17,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,789.638751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Angels47c24,643$11,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,691.541,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Angels35c24,578$8,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,578.5154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels44c20,519$9,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,023.991,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Angels73c19,920$14,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,541.6517156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Angels44c11,360$5,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,006.2821747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Angels18c11,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.5219649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Angels56c10,197$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7006450%32 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels42c8,292$3,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,511.4243949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Angels43c5,277$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.3798149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Reds51c5,058$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.527455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Reds43c4,638$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.352,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Reds56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.2913553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Angels29c4,295$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.5779740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Reds54c3,536$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.8712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Reds51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.1745248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Angels26c3,320$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.5357744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Angels48c3,188$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.391,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Angels43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Angels44c2,222$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.671,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Reds50c1,947$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.243953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Angels51c1,798$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.7525454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels32c1,797$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.99,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Reds69c1,699$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.711,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Angels51c1,679$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8568944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Angels48c1,549$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.4143946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df9…2c03backed Reds57c1,518$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds48c1,481$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.2295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Angels38c1,382$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.8416135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels42c1,364$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.732,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff32…dc40backed Angels45c1,294$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Reds59c1,167$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.923248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Reds67c1,161$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.486,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Angels42c1,093$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.5796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd71b…38b4backed Angels43c1,072$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3572…38a9backed Angels42c1,030$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdef3…f121backed Reds58c1,028$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.76825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9f3…2c1abacked Reds58c1,022$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc87c…667abacked Angels42c1,020$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.4850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Angels1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Angels43c977$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.1173352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Angels36c965.98$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.691,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Reds55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.099354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Angels54c827.37$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.1351334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels42c800$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33683248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa67d…9a7dbacked Angels45c766$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.740%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Angels48c760$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.126650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Angels45c749.97$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4930850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Angels15c703.59$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1054418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Reds77c659.73$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7431248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Angels46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds56c643.66$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.34,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Reds57c640.27$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.571,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Angels45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds56c536.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9666645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Reds56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.715667.9%38 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Reds57c529.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5453448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Angels44c499.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22021538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels43c474$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.821,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…63e0backed Angels43c445$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Angels55c428.78$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2359947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Reds57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17265549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Angels43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17224040.8%98 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Reds49c397$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4732042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Reds55c385.09$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.291,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Reds55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6456351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels44c350.01$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Angels44c338.94$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.131,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Reds75c337.85$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4821656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Reds62c337.46$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1380955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels43c299.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1293,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Reds53c286.85$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8517355.5%96 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Reds71c282.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2539160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels44c268.81$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.281,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Angels29c254.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6260052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Reds56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Angels44c212.92$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6926056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Angels51c211.67$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90b6…ba49backed Angels50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059158.2%53 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Reds54c207.94$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6543247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Reds56c201.39$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6170946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4680…b33dbacked Angels29c200.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.123438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Angels42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Reds55c200$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9112857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Angels32c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6556440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Angels43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8632651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb4f…a90bbacked Angels25c193.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Angels46c185$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.531244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Reds50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9021748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Angels45c179.18$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.631,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Reds57c178.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Reds58c172.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.11,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Angels43c171.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.373149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c6d…7d7cbacked Reds48c151$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510a…cd0ebacked Angels52c151$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Angels45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.53336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.