Tennis · resolved market
Mallorca Championships: Moutet vs. Altmaier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x619fd8e19dfe154ba6152d715878fa82682b05842a324bfb9f70370cee0a62d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moutetof Moutet, Altmaier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Moutet | 54c | 22,923$12,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,474.67 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Altmaier | 46c | 18,262$8,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,310.89 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Altmaier | 37c | 8,085$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.29 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Moutet | 69c | 5,294$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.25 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Moutet | 57c | 2,786$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.38 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Altmaier | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Moutet | 52c | 2,000$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.04 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Moutet | 49c | 1,418$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.18 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Altmaier | 34c | 1,368$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.27 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Moutet | 69c | 1,000$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.9 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Altmaier | 43c | 607.38$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.41 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Moutet | 66c | 589.03$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Altmaier | 36c | 494.08$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.87 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Moutet | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Altmaier | 41c | 460.45$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Altmaier | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Moutet | 49c | 377.48$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Altmaier | 33c | 362.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.54 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Moutet | 68c | 294.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Altmaier | 36c | 274.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Moutet | 58c | 258$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Altmaier | 22c | 126$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Moutet | 70c | 113$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Altmaier | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Altmaier | 23c | 107.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Moutet | 46c | 106.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Altmaier | 32c | 103.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Moutet | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Moutet | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Moutet | 66c | 81.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Moutet | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Moutet | 67c | 74.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Altmaier | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Altmaier | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Moutet | 56c | 62.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Altmaier | 37c | 60.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Moutet | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Moutet | 56c | 39.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Moutet | 67c | 32.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Altmaier | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Moutet | 67c | 26.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Moutet | 67c | 25.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Moutet | 67c | 23.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ba…1f30backed Moutet | 66c | 16.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…436bbacked Moutet | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.