Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C – Shelton vs. Tiafoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40267dc73def14f67cd9479e544ce206c33e470b2917fd64ef96e5e5c8daabcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Tiafoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tiafoe | 35c | 4,500$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Tiafoe | 34c | 4,301$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.86 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tiafoe | 15c | 3,565$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.51 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Shelton | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Shelton | 65c | 2,456$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.45 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tiafoe | 32c | 2,033$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.37 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tiafoe | 14c | 2,032$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.13 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Tiafoe | 28c | 1,828$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.9 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Shelton | 48c | 1,580$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.82 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Shelton | 67c | 1,494$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.77 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Tiafoe | 13c | 1,200$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Shelton | 69c | 936.7$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.7 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tiafoe | 37c | 661.54$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.54 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…e569backed Tiafoe | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Shelton | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Tiafoe | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Shelton | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Shelton | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Shelton | 68c | 366$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Shelton | 68c | 352.12$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Tiafoe | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Shelton | 70c | 306.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tiafoe | 30c | 299.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Shelton | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tiafoe | 35c | 287.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Tiafoe | 31c | 280$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tiafoe | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tiafoe | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Shelton | 69c | 246.38$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Tiafoe | 34c | 240.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…bdcabacked Shelton | 71c | 230.13$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Shelton | 66c | 222.26$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Shelton | 66c | 190.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Shelton | 69c | 188.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Shelton | 68c | 178.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Shelton | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Shelton | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Tiafoe | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Shelton | 73c | 105.48$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Shelton | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Shelton | 67c | 59.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tiafoe | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Tiafoe | 34c | 44.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Shelton | 66c | 35.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…8a16backed Tiafoe | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Shelton | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ae…64f1backed Shelton | 67c | 26.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf043…61d9backed Shelton | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Shelton | 66c | 16.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.