Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Moutet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f09ebc93676d0f9793187394c83bffa670bb5970623a06ad6251bd4c57fb5b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moutetof Medvedev, Moutet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Medvedev | 61c | 7,708$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.1 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Moutet | 34c | 5,207$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.08 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Moutet | 21c | 4,971$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.82 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f7…58dbbacked Medvedev | 68c | 4,501$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.06 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Moutet | 18c | 4,301$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.84 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Moutet | 27c | 4,126$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.73 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Moutet | 21c | 3,850$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.53 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…19e8backed Medvedev | 74c | 2,222$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.45 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Moutet | 69c | 1,427$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.45 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Medvedev | 79c | 1,389$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.47 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Medvedev | 68c | 1,100$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Moutet | 22c | 1,056$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.14 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Medvedev | 70c | 1,024$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Moutet | 48c | 930$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.01 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Medvedev | 68c | 896.71$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.75 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Moutet | 30c | 861.11$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.5 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Moutet | 24c | 720$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.4 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…1b35backed Medvedev | 78c | 718$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Moutet | 33c | 690$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.2 | 581 | 39.9%232 W · 349 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Medvedev | 75c | 650$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Medvedev | 73c | 645.72$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.59 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…a496backed Medvedev | 77c | 557$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.19 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Moutet | 19c | 526.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.3 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Medvedev | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Moutet | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Moutet | 22c | 446.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.24 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Medvedev | 77c | 424.06$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.33 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…f30dbacked Medvedev | 80c | 416$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.88 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Moutet | 22c | 350.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.86 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Moutet | 9c | 332.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Moutet | 32c | 314.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.06 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Moutet | 15c | 312.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.25 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Medvedev | 80c | 272.54$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Medvedev | 80c | 211.75$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.45 | 239 | 69.9%167 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Medvedev | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Medvedev | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Medvedev | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Medvedev | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked Medvedev | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Moutet | 20c | 199.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Moutet | 21c | 199.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.79 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Medvedev | 74c | 188.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Medvedev | 79c | 183.85$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Moutet | 35c | 138.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.21 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Medvedev | 78c | 127.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Medvedev | 80c | 125.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Medvedev | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Medvedev | 75c | 110.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Moutet | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Moutet | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Medvedev | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Moutet | 20c | 99.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Moutet | 21c | 95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Medvedev | 63c | 88.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Medvedev | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Medvedev | 63c | 78.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Moutet | 21c | 75.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Medvedev | 79c | 75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Medvedev | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…c78bbacked Medvedev | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Medvedev | 78c | 43.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Medvedev | 57c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Moutet | 32c | 39.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Medvedev | 80c | 32.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 103 | 72.8%75 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Medvedev | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…725ebacked Medvedev | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…3d26backed Medvedev | 73c | 26.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…5f5ebacked Medvedev | 77c | 18.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Medvedev | 80c | 18.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…b264backed Medvedev | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.