TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Athletics, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$930,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$939,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $930,415 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins59c813,779$477,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477,623.2138043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics41c457,379$188,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268,504.391,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Athletics42c163,100$68,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,088.9922852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics40c89,461$35,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,466.3738751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Athletics41c22,000$9,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,98055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics46c20,947$9,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,354.831,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Twins56c19,146$10,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,766.8460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics40c15,800$6,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4241,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Athletics44c12,230$5,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,848.5519649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Twins56c10,475$5,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,866.2760451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Athletics44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.9834245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Athletics42c9,984$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,790.5543949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Twins62c8,137$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,068.7133845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics40c7,500$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,47556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Athletics44c7,454$3,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,188.4621747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics49c6,219$3,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,201.72,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Twins58c6,181$3,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,584.8911150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Athletics42c5,993$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,476.1714148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Athletics41c4,700$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,77316352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics43c4,362$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,505.842,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Twins58c4,327$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Twins42c3,930$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.345248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics41c3,889$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.5135952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Athletics43c3,300$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88111553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Twins56c3,014$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.3571751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics43c2,978$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.9473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a38…438cbacked Twins56c2,295$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb0…58b6backed Athletics44c2,045$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.25100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6369…feb1backed Athletics44c2,018$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Athletics43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe168…0f95backed Athletics44c1,900$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.21,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d5…31c3backed Twins56c1,768$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Twins21c1,650$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.729,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffb8…c079backed Twins56c1,600$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Athletics42c1,500$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8755743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Athletics44c1,463$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.2825454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa687…23e2backed Athletics44c1,436$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff4…5a2dbacked Twins56c1,412$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6e…d15bbacked Athletics44c1,400$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa17b…d7a7backed Athletics44c1,400$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc1…6375backed Twins56c1,388$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe0…9c67backed Athletics44c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Athletics41c1,300$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76750843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b5…0e50backed Athletics44c1,205$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b2…aa49backed Twins56c1,200$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Athletics44c1,150$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64416349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Athletics44c1,150$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64457744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79d5…710ebacked Twins57c1,096$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Athletics42c1,000$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.011,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Athletics52c986.22$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.051,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c73…2949backed Twins56c982$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics44c965.37$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.611,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins32c951.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Athletics41c922$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.9824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ccf…a574backed Twins56c918$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Twins56c909$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0412552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics43c799.99$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45683248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Twins56c794.64$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4459947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Athletics43c750$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Twins56c707.13$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.311,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4b…19cfbacked Athletics43c698$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics44c681$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.361,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Athletics45c666.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.3963052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…7b51backed Twins56c625$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Athletics43c621.27$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.4111741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics41c616$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.4444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada8…b670backed Twins56c580$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Athletics44c570$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.226650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Athletics45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5611051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Twins57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Athletics41c524.34$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9379740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Athletics42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29021538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics40c469.44$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6651347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Athletics44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5556351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22865549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3374…99ddbacked Athletics43c398$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics50c383.06$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1880955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Athletics44c368.18$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.185667.9%38 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Athletics43c349.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.491,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics44c340.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.881,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Athletics44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1683,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Athletics41c260$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.41,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Athletics76c241$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.368769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Athletics43c234$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfef0…1282backed Twins57c230$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.11752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Athletics52c210.37$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3710459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4680…b33dbacked Twins23c200.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Twins13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Athletics42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11632651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Athletics40c196.6$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9618848.4%91 W · 97 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Athletics34c194.12$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1211331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Athletics42c193.46$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4473149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins56c192.61$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8643247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Athletics44c189.64$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.226056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics44c185$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.61,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Athletics44c183.25$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.621,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Twins57c180.7$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.