MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b7f9eaef5094a259edc8ce1a07583a744f36e28dc481b070195d10446171c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Giants, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $530,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $552,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants | 38c | 415,530$156,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,696.33 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 62c | 186,616$115,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,875.61 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 62c | 88,396$54,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,590.48 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Padres | 65c | 28,840$18,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,002.38 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 63c | 23,411$14,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,662 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 65c | 17,562$11,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,088.9 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 62c | 14,448$8,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490.24 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Padres | 61c | 12,935$7,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.67 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 62c | 9,500$5,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 62c | 9,387$5,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 64c | 8,819$5,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.45 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Padres | 66c | 7,850$5,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.99 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Giants | 43c | 7,272$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Giants | 34c | 6,287$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.73 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Padres | 63c | 6,222$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.99 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Padres | 63c | 5,800$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 64c | 5,186$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.25 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Giants | 48c | 4,155$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.4 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 52c | 3,905$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.46 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 63c | 3,869$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.63 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Giants | 35c | 3,868$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.85 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Padres | 69c | 3,290$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.82 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres | 63c | 3,128$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.71 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Padres | 64c | 2,046$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.4 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 65c | 2,008$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.16 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Padres | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Padres | 63c | 1,571$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Padres | 66c | 1,513$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.22 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Giants | 48c | 1,501$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.3 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Padres | 64c | 1,500$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 39c | 1,457$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.33 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Giants | 35c | 1,418$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.02 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 25c | 1,382$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Giants | 20c | 1,261$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.38 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Padres | 65c | 1,221$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Padres | 66c | 1,184$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.58 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…278bbacked Giants | 33c | 1,152$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Giants | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 67c | 975.72$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.02 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Giants | 34c | 900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 34c | 799.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Padres | 66c | 799.98$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Giants | 34c | 749.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…3ffbbacked Padres | 67c | 701$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 67c | 696.1$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.71 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Giants | 5c | 635.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Giants | 48c | 592.71$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Padres | 65c | 570$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Padres | 56c | 554.38$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.25 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Padres | 65c | 549.97$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Giants | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Giants | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Padres | 61c | 490.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.71 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Giants | 35c | 460$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb746…08afbacked Padres | 67c | 449.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Padres | 67c | 441.3$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.63 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 63c | 415.7$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Padres | 67c | 415$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 33c | 347.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Padres | 66c | 343.49$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Giants | 34c | 336$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Giants | 5c | 320$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Giants | 33c | 310$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Padres | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Padres | 67c | 300.81$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Giants | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Giants | 13c | 297.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1282backed Padres | 66c | 285$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 67c | 281.43$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.57 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 38c | 265.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 64c | 246.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Padres | 66c | 227.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Giants | 36c | 222.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Padres | 67c | 208.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Giants | 38c | 200.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Giants | 34c | 200.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Padres | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Giants | 37c | 187.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Giants | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 63c | 177.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b85…3d86backed Padres | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…0f5dbacked Giants | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Padres | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Padres | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Padres | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Padres | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Giants | 34c | 138$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…32d3backed Padres | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Giants | 34c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Padres | 69c | 124.42$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Giants | 36c | 118.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.