TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes38c47,515$17,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,683.7636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No64c42,096$27,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,028.1618758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes34c35,427$12,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,386.097346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No58c6,677$3,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,859.1319453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed No67c5,110$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,448.342528%7 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes32c4,782$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.412956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes32c4,045$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.5417852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes34c2,968$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.656053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No58c2,288$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.630657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd02d…efaebacked Yes46c1,695$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6497…e879backed Yes35c1,646$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Yes43c1,617$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.232951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked No69c1,502$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.431855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b7…eb22backed Yes40c1,497$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.651250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No78c1,449$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.746950.7%35 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Yes46c1,373$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes31c1,168$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.0444033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7474…4ebabacked Yes46c1,112$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes32c1,068$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.2438048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes17c1,051$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.4824963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c1,005$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.4729846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes69c930.67$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5510736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb23…7031backed Yes31c905$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No65c820.56$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.2317658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed No14c708.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982718.5%5 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed No28c690$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1945343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes42c630$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.623852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb42d…e428backed Yes44c563.55$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes40c561.99$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.116327%44 W · 119 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac6…35f2backed No69c485$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed Yes31c433$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+116.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked Yes29c424.66$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3022623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes26c419.53$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.1526443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No66c388.44$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.8744955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Yes38c379.22$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.121070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ea8…2948backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f39…27a5backed No58c368.95$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.08714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-65.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes31c367.89$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8424047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeec4…e6a5backed Yes45c363.42$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.331758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaff0…3e1fbacked Yes35c336.14$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.491844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Yes43c329.6$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.277640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b85…51f2backed Yes31c319.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6281…53afbacked Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2073135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No67c298.51$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No70c294.93$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Yes26c279.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.61612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef30…75cdbacked No69c260$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a3…7254backed No69c255$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c3…b35abacked Yes35c245.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes72c244.44$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.444062.5%25 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes32c239.47$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.848633.7%29 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes68c231$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.621744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabdd…a3cabacked No57c227.8$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+85.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No50c224.86$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3916036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x08ec…b5fcbacked No60c224.46$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.571338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d95…be38backed Yes36c206.49$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8599…d597backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.942025%5 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13213538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.98450%42 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1485125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13819755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No64c188$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2246956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde74…e866backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.573033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.676643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51c6…c26dbacked Yes32c153$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+112%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No68c147.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x06d0…5081backed No71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e02…aa22backed Yes65c140$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd687…c066backed No44c128.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.581250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Yes46c114.72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3661…5b89backed No75c109.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.181963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…893abacked Yes30c105$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+65.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ab…6b01backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes30c98.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.287625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5fc…1573backed Yes31c95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed No63c91.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.687946.8%37 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7192…29d9backed Yes34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d52…2f63backed Yes31c88.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+226.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Yes32c87.62$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.688243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee1b…2784backed Yes34c85.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+154.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9045…321abacked Yes45c83.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…c308backed Yes58c77.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.291855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No65c76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.438356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae2…ff6cbacked Yes34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No53c72.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.959762.9%61 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1925…691abacked Yes59c70.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked No40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x568b…983abacked Yes46c69.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203c…95f1backed Yes34c67.09$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+198.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes30c66.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.668353%44 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No70c59.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4219344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8211429.8%34 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.956123%14 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeacf…ed1dbacked Yes34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+73.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No63c44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6128357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdea0…632dbacked Yes32c43.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Yes32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.42433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.