Champions League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal beat Fluminense in regulation time?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11793f1420d4a46db97c2834b7ad2567426044c2f9ba38abe1c0f371a2e0579a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 45c | 67,086$29,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,966.45 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 58c | 39,179$22,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,370.43 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 54c | 28,097$15,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,049.59 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 40c | 18,121$7,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,246.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 36c | 14,503$5,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,196.71 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 64c | 14,287$9,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,121.76 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…d723backed Yes | 41c | 9,681$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked No | 62c | 8,829$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 72c | 7,067$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.33 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 38c | 7,000$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa56…f232backed Yes | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 40c | 3,860$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.62 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 27c | 2,849$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.03 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,703$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.45 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yes | 46c | 2,545$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.52 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…6b39backed Yes | 12c | 2,292$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Yes | 57c | 1,914$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 37c | 1,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 37c | 1,440$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.76 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…eb22backed Yes | 39c | 1,219$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 37c | 1,168$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.4 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 60c | 1,150$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.02 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 58c | 1,139$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.93 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 35c | 1,087$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…4620backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 42c | 958.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…21bebacked Yes | 38c | 925$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…7566backed Yes | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 59c | 890$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.9 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked No | 60c | 845.38$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Yes | 51c | 808.94$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.63 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked No | 59c | 799.98$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…565fbacked Yes | 39c | 749.44$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e879backed Yes | 39c | 723.08$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed No | 59c | 665.98$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 36c | 615.68$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.65 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…dec0backed Yes | 39c | 541.36$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda1…8cd6backed Yes | 38c | 525.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…efaebacked Yes | 58c | 457.49$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 67c | 426.7$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.28 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 60c | 414.75$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Yes | 40c | 391.97$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked No | 44c | 340.24$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…fdb4backed Yes | 41c | 309.44$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 38c | 291.8$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 38c | 270$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 38c | 269.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 35c | 266.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed No | 63c | 262.37$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 7c | 261$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…6485backed Yes | 39c | 256.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 40c | 255$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…6d80backed Yes | 39c | 245.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 45c | 236.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Yes | 40c | 235.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 26c | 228.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Yes | 45c | 221.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 62c | 220$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9d…cc30backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked No | 55c | 169.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b18…7e98backed No | 63c | 165.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 28c | 155.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 23c | 151.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked No | 63c | 147.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb764…f499backed Yes | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…c26dbacked Yes | 40c | 138$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +112%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 61c | 136.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 59c | 134.15$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…2436backed Yes | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 38c | 129.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…962fbacked No | 64c | 126$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 25c | 108.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8145…d589backed Yes | 39c | 103.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 67c | 103.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed No | 60c | 95.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 24c | 93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…cd94backed Yes | 39c | 92.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Yes | 45c | 92.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 54c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…6a9ebacked No | 62c | 80.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6c…a22bbacked Yes | 39c | 77.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07e…9851backed Yes | 40c | 72.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes | 38c | 65.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 38c | 64.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…780dbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal beat Fluminense in regulation time?this page
- Will Fluminense beat Al Hilal in regulation time?Yes won
- Will Fluminense vs. Al Hilal end in a draw after regulation time?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.