NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59146193092e473f3d883f85202bd193a19f498b1a33588d55dfc17518230db9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Celtics, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Celtics | 67c | 61,333$41,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,124.34 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 32c | 46,910$14,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,107.75 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Celtics | 66c | 29,442$19,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,571.13 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 43c | 27,192$11,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,538.56 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Heat | 31c | 16,244$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,243.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Heat | 65c | 13,247$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,607.06 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Celtics | 58c | 11,996$6,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,957.65 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Heat | 33c | 11,439$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,664.13 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Celtics | 24c | 11,189$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.68 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Celtics | 41c | 7,828$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.28 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Celtics | 71c | 2,675$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Celtics | 58c | 2,614$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.87 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Celtics | 51c | 2,416$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Heat | 77c | 2,222$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Celtics | 59c | 1,455$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.17 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Celtics | 56c | 1,444$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.21 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked Heat | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.08 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Heat | 40c | 1,327$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.33 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Celtics | 63c | 1,151$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.91 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Heat | 49c | 1,116$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.06 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Celtics | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Celtics | 56c | 999.99$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Heat | 57c | 919.58$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.81 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Heat | 35c | 915$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Celtics | 47c | 800.36$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.25 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 53c | 722.63$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.72 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Heat | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Heat | 30c | 575.48$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.28 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Heat | 55c | 561.93$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…2266backed Celtics | 61c | 535.9$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Celtics | 45c | 517.98$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Celtics | 61c | 508.97$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.47 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Heat | 30c | 507.53$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.27 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Celtics | 66c | 499.9$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.93 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Heat | 45c | 441.82$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Celtics | 42c | 376.19$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 33c | 306.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Celtics | 49c | 300.88$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Celtics | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Heat | 55c | 299$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Heat | 30c | 287.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.41 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Celtics | 54c | 284.36$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Celtics | 62c | 263.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Heat | 44c | 254.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Heat | 35c | 222.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Celtics | 71c | 222$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.62 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Heat | 42c | 203.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.71 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Celtics | 68c | 201.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Celtics | 57c | 200.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Celtics | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Celtics | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 67c | 200$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Heat | 34c | 193.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…37d7backed Celtics | 69c | 173.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Heat | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Heat | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Celtics | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Heat | 30c | 150.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Heat | 32c | 149.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed Celtics | 69c | 144.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Heat | 44c | 144.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Celtics | 69c | 141.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Celtics | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…5cd7backed Celtics | 71c | 140.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Celtics | 62c | 119.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Heat | 40c | 118.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Heat | 33c | 109.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Celtics | 45c | 100.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Celtics | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Celtics | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1e…7ba5backed Celtics | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Heat | 33c | 99.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Celtics | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…9841backed Heat | 33c | 89.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…12fabacked Heat | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Celtics | 37c | 86.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…2a69backed Celtics | 59c | 83.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Heat | 32c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…9480backed Celtics | 71c | 76.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Celtics | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Celtics | 69c | 75.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d49…fb65backed Heat | 31c | 73.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6439…d173backed Heat | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…d669backed Heat | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Heat | 33c | 63.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Celtics | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Heat | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Celtics | 69c | 59.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Heat | 56c | 57.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Celtics | 42c | 56.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf241…7b2cbacked Celtics | 64c | 56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…830ebacked Heat | 33c | 51.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa035…fb7cbacked Celtics | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Celtics | 63c | 50.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…8707backed Celtics | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Heat | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Heat | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.