MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa16ba64b27f2417a2bd37a932f3d75ab933f91793b410cd11af38e391841a46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,096,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,098,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,096,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 44c | 955,013$418,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536,141.64 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 690,164$389,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389,540.77 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Red Sox | 55c | 112,794$62,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,036.74 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 56c | 66,961$37,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,498.16 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 55c | 26,315$14,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,482.64 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox | 56c | 23,000$12,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,880 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Orioles | 44c | 20,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,300 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 17,093$9,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,573.28 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Red Sox | 55c | 12,000$6,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,620 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 48c | 10,659$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.02 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Orioles | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 47c | 9,910$4,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,252.74 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Red Sox | 55c | 7,826$4,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.29 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 55c | 7,800$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox | 38c | 6,440$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.24 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Orioles | 74c | 5,195$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Orioles | 43c | 5,011$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.26 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Red Sox | 56c | 4,620$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.2 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Red Sox | 46c | 4,181$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.53 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Red Sox | 57c | 3,775$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.75 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Red Sox | 55c | 3,400$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 36c | 3,279$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.99 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 3,125$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Red Sox | 56c | 2,927$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.97 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Orioles | 45c | 2,769$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.37 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 43c | 2,651$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.9 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 55c | 2,500$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Orioles | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 46c | 2,284$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 56c | 2,250$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Red Sox | 57c | 1,642$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.18 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 28c | 1,595$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.61 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 56c | 1,551$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.68 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Orioles | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…e22fbacked Red Sox | 56c | 1,366$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Orioles | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 43c | 1,231$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.41 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Orioles | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…0065backed Orioles | 44c | 1,141$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Orioles | 39c | 1,102$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.76 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Orioles | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…babebacked Red Sox | 56c | 1,082$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…3b2fbacked Red Sox | 56c | 1,068$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 58c | 1,062$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.9 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Red Sox | 57c | 1,038$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.66 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…2b66backed Red Sox | 56c | 1,030$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…72c7backed Orioles | 44c | 1,009$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Red Sox | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Red Sox | 25c | 978.29$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.79 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.09 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…3587backed Orioles | 44c | 795$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 12c | 790.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Orioles | 43c | 781.53$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.47 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Orioles | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Sox | 53c | 731.28$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.02 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 56c | 714.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.07 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Red Sox | 38c | 682.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.36 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 44c | 680.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.35 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Orioles | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec1…94c3backed Orioles | 44c | 575$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…9145backed Orioles | 44c | 571$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Red Sox | 57c | 570$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Red Sox | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Red Sox | 56c | 498.84$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.35 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…deeabacked Orioles | 44c | 455$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 42c | 454$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.32 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orioles | 46c | 400.8$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Red Sox | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Orioles | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Orioles | 70c | 360.62$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Orioles | 61c | 360$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Orioles | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed Orioles | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 44c | 349.98$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 44c | 345$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 57c | 334.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.48 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Orioles | 45c | 334$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Red Sox | 58c | 302$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.16 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 45c | 276.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 57c | 261$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Red Sox | 16c | 252.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89d…d6b7backed Orioles | 78c | 237.54$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Red Sox | 24c | 235.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Orioles | 43c | 233.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Red Sox | 76c | 211.92$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Orioles | 39c | 199.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 7c | 188.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 43c | 187.51$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Orioles | 41c | 186.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 57c | 178.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Orioles | 53c | 178.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Red Sox | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.