MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29cabbf5eba55f7d7e436f87c53830d1cb671784f05d17668f771cbce19bf26d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Cardinals | 42c | 187,000$78,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,506.74 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yankees | 58c | 84,650$49,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,553 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 58c | 32,283$18,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,561.86 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 58c | 18,807$10,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,860.64 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees | 58c | 6,433$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.86 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Yankees | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.41 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 57c | 5,135$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.96 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yankees | 59c | 5,060$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.59 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Cardinals | 42c | 5,021$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 58c | 4,963$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cardinals | 43c | 3,800$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Yankees | 58c | 3,755$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Yankees | 58c | 3,620$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.57 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yankees | 63c | 3,617$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.75 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Yankees | 50c | 3,276$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.02 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 58c | 2,880$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 58c | 2,611$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.8 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cardinals | 36c | 2,208$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.23 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yankees | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cardinals | 41c | 1,899$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.88 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Yankees | 60c | 1,880$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.13 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,870$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.5 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yankees | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Yankees | 47c | 1,809$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.51 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,692$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Yankees | 46c | 1,600$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 53c | 1,398$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.71 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cardinals | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cardinals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Yankees | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cardinals | 53c | 949.07$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 56c | 833.43$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.16 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals | 41c | 764$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.24 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Yankees | 74c | 700$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 43c | 697$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yankees | 52c | 683.95$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yankees | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yankees | 53c | 569.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.96 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yankees | 59c | 550$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 42c | 523.43$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Cardinals | 41c | 520.57$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.43 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 41c | 513$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.33 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 65c | 491.42$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cardinals | 41c | 485.46$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Cardinals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 41c | 449.15$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yankees | 74c | 404.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Yankees | 46c | 400$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.84 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yankees | 56c | 384.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 61c | 356.85$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees | 60c | 305.28$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 44c | 280.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 16c | 244$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Yankees | 57c | 234$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Cardinals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 57c | 224.56$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 56c | 214.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 204.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yankees | 49c | 202.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 43c | 199.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yankees | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cardinals | 35c | 193.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 6c | 193.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yankees | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 53c | 190.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Yankees | 46c | 185.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cardinals | 35c | 183.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yankees | 59c | 168$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Cardinals | 58c | 154.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Cardinals | 41c | 133$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yankees | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Cardinals | 49c | 121.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cardinals | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yankees | 51c | 117.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 112.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Cardinals | 22c | 100.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yankees | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Cardinals | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yankees | 68c | 93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…0165backed Cardinals | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yankees | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Yankees | 52c | 87.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Yankees | 65c | 85.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Yankees | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Cardinals | 48c | 80.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cardinals | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Cardinals | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yankees | 58c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.