MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcade45bd5323695147b0e1e761e6f74e34bb367a961a33c38c869ece87db4329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Giants, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $571,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Padres | 58c | 418,278$241,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,327.68 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Giants | 42c | 210,350$88,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,341 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Giants | 42c | 48,024$20,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,169.9 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Giants | 42c | 38,000$16,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,060 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Giants | 42c | 31,617$13,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,294.81 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Giants | 43c | 24,287$10,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,443.26 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Giants | 42c | 23,104$9,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,703.7 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants | 16c | 19,860$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.86 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Giants | 41c | 18,480$7,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,524.8 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 42c | 17,053$7,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,162.26 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Giants | 36c | 16,562$6,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,022.11 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Giants | 43c | 12,283$5,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281.69 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Padres | 74c | 8,500$6,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Giants | 4c | 6,035$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Giants | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 43c | 5,623$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.42 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Giants | 42c | 5,600$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.95 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 40c | 5,357$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.56 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Padres | 58c | 4,333$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.86 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Padres | 62c | 4,182$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.13 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 2c | 3,521$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Giants | 43c | 3,230$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.9 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Giants | 42c | 2,348$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.71 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 19c | 2,073$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Giants | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Giants | 8c | 1,804$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Giants | 43c | 1,737$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.91 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Giants | 42c | 1,680$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.59 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Giants | 21c | 1,531$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.65 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Padres | 74c | 1,480$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.8 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Giants | 4c | 1,422$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…884dbacked Giants | 2c | 1,364$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giants | 37c | 1,321$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Giants | 44c | 1,213$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.72 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Giants | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Padres | 56c | 1,150$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.41 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Padres | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.02 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Padres | 57c | 1,000$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giants | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Giants | 43c | 999.37$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.73 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 43c | 900.18$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.11 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 29c | 874.58$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.47 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Giants | 42c | 713.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Giants | 43c | 568$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.24 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Padres | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Giants | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Giants | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Padres | 57c | 420.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 42c | 399.94$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 41c | 350.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Giants | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Giants | 43c | 333.12$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 65c | 307.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.85 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 21c | 279.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Padres | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Padres | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 42c | 240.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 58c | 234.71$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 43c | 229.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Giants | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Giants | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Giants | 44c | 199.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 60c | 190.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Padres | 60c | 172.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Giants | 43c | 154$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Padres | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Giants | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 43c | 136.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Giants | 43c | 136.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Padres | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Giants | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Giants | 44c | 126.23$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Padres | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Padres | 57c | 111$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Giants | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Padres | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Padres | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Giants | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Giants | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Padres | 57c | 99.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Giants | 12c | 93.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Padres | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Padres | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Giants | 25c | 79.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…77c4backed Giants | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Padres | 58c | 57.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Padres | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Giants | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Padres | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Padres | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Giants | 43c | 48.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Giants | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…8cd1backed Padres | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Giants | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…4099backed Padres | 58c | 36.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Padres | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.