TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Royals vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Royals, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$993,954
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,089,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $993,954 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers60c614,512$367,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246,925.1438043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals40c532,060$213,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213,795.311,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Tigers59c92,508$55,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,508.0328646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Royals40c50,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Royals41c44,961$18,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,371.1835952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Tigers60c39,864$23,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,946.3717351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Royals40c37,832$15,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,132.845248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers59c32,724$19,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,416.7960249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Royals41c21,011$8,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,531.8854345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals40c19,628$7,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,867.411,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Royals41c17,895$7,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,345.538949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Royals41c17,543$7,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,105.41,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Royals40c8,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9910041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers60c7,500$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Tigers60c7,091$4,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.2738751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Tigers61c6,025$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.2933845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Royals43c5,624$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.5716347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb31…cd36backed Royals42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1003135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Royals41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.986538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tigers53c4,202$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.8430151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce13…a213backed Tigers58c3,730$2,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.61855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Royals43c3,666$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.3898149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Royals40c3,474$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.611553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Royals40c2,766$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.7621747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Royals40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Royals40c2,413$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.5473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals40c2,312$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.022,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Royals43c2,107$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.18944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Royals46c2,066$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9481,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Royals53c2,045$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.689,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76cc…5e4ebacked Royals40c2,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7901952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Royals41c1,686$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.6543949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Royals41c1,517$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6228852.3%46 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Royals41c1,469$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.973855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Royals40c1,351$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.450843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Tigers60c1,208$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.3411449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Royals42c1,146$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.2219449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers59c1,014$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.1288549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Royals43c1,005$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.0825454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Royals41c992.68$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4076953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Royals44c967.87$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.329550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals40c899.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Royals40c871$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.424547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5d5…fc86backed Tigers60c864.23$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb865…041bbacked Royals41c860.88$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Royals41c858.21$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.871,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tigers40c824.95$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.951,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Tigers60c800$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.534051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Tigers60c771.67$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.6712248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Royals42c750$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Royals41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Royals41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Royals40c582$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Royals41c570$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.726650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Royals44c569.38$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Tigers42c540$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.5243946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Royals68c538$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.651,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Royals41c520.99$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.611,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers58c517$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.141,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Tigers58c503.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.351,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3c…2807backed Royals41c495.12$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Royals40c492.61$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0451347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals41c491.57$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.71,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x391e…5b83backed Tigers60c488.54$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.541942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Royals43c465.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Royals42c450$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18965549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Royals5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16495930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Royals42c400$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.581,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Royals41c332.58$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13821853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcd…d6b4backed Tigers60c324.8$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Royals43c317.26$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.4280955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals51c306.13$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.254,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Royals7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Royals42c254.76$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10799951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Royals40c250$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7113052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Royals41c248.78$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…0a55backed Tigers61c239.18$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.282755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Royals41c239$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.641,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Royals42c239$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f70…63b2backed Tigers60c230$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Royals66c204.81$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.676,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Royals6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5216934.9%59 W · 110 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Royals40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8066751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4779…211fbacked Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…afbbbacked Royals41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828051.3%41 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2019…a6a9backed Royals41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7620…b9eabacked Royals41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3236…8f9ebacked Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd6…966cbacked Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c61…a273backed Royals41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827546.7%35 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc94…72debacked Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b8…729cbacked Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba6…8340backed Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c32…3b86backed Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb290…27c5backed Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7205…c850backed Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0138…cdf1backed Royals41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28fe…620bbacked Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828353%44 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.