Fifa International · resolved market
Will Austria beat Romania?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ffbfb4d52f1862fe3a42874556ab85915d9156a704ba122379f2298730308e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 71c | 9,914$7,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.55 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed No | 29c | 5,676$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 17c | 3,597$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed No | 30c | 3,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 12c | 2,854$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,700$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.8 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…4f1ebacked No | 13c | 1,060$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 41c | 1,048$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.14 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Yes | 73c | 824.58$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…6a9bbacked Yes | 71c | 741.59$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 80c | 719.92$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 35c | 577.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 70c | 548.21$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 26c | 399.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…68a9backed Yes | 63c | 340$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 33c | 287.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 74c | 261.38$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa290…872fbacked Yes | 74c | 257.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 74c | 241.64$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 16c | 228.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Yes | 72c | 202.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…e895backed Yes | 63c | 168.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Yes | 61c | 164.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dab…9a14backed Yes | 73c | 163.55$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 27c | 137.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…eb54backed Yes | 74c | 134.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 25c | 133.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 25c | 99.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9168…445cbacked Yes | 73c | 97.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 74c | 66.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…4aecbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…7f50backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…bcedbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0f…addabacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3192…62cbbacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…c8f5backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…a451backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…23a3backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31bc…ed4fbacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…6d08backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…8c7ebacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc943…2d5cbacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…e210backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99da…4efcbacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8255…ae4ebacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…b04ebacked Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…a505backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c4…4019backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 65c | 28.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…5dd0backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked Yes | 73c | 21.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19f…4597backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria beat Romania?this page
- Will Austria vs. Romania end in a draw?No won
- Will Romania beat Austria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.