TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Giants, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,685,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,668,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,685,036 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants39c1,175,391$455,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455,517.2138043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Brewers61c239,504$146,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,406.6822852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Brewers61c226,422$138,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,742.6335952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers61c178,702$109,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,376.6444456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Giants39c107,179$41,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,473.1638751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers60c80,969$48,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,985.991,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers62c78,667$48,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,130.8260249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers61c63,088$38,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,601.7263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Brewers61c59,000$35,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,01055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Giants39c50,000$19,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,272.7156451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Giants39c49,212$19,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,192.7217351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Brewers62c35,000$21,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,30025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers60c30,024$18,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,969.841,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Brewers61c27,175$16,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,598.245248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers62c25,698$15,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,795.3648254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Brewers60c25,200$15,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,08045248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Brewers62c18,160$11,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,900.813065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers60c17,539$10,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,037.881,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Brewers62c16,666$10,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,333.0830255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Brewers67c15,055$10,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,968.1396133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Brewers61c15,000$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,85012655.6%70 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Brewers60c13,650$8,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,46020850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Giants39c11,754$4,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,579.4133845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Brewers68c10,966$7,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,480.5214052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers56c9,221$5,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,097.81,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Brewers61c8,000$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1201,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Brewers60c5,950$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,38023455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Brewers60c5,350$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,14012247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Giants30c5,088$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.4454345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce13…a213backed Giants40c5,003$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Brewers61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9506538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Giants38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18ca…bf9dbacked Brewers60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6001764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Giants39c4,000$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55530151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Giants37c3,827$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.9621747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Brewers59c3,728$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.7880955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb31…cd36backed Brewers60c3,500$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers60c3,352$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.941,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Giants39c3,333$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.8798149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Brewers62c2,640$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.22254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Brewers70c2,408$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.6521656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Giants28c2,121$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60039739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers61c2,060$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.6225454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Brewers62c1,702$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.8523248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Giants57c1,572$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.391,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants39c1,558$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.3343949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Brewers61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.0719742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants37c1,439$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.222,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Giants38c1,351$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.3650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers60c1,313$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.273352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Giants26c1,100$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28427733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Brewers62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers61c953.95$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.812,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants40c900$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Giants38c871$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.9824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6788549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers61c800$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.4342452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers54c800$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36651151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Giants39c750$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Brewers62c650$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24743654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Giants41c608.98$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.496,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Giants38c582$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1644443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Brewers62c570$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.626650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Brewers65c563.9$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0721246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Brewers53c560.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9153448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Brewers63c550.81$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.863052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Giants41c516.37$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Brewers64c502.24$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2418155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3c…2807backed Brewers61c495.08$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.081957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x391e…5b83backed Giants40c495$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Giants38c488.55$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Giants41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Giants10c432.86$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.121833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb5…da2cbacked Brewers50c397.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3612355.3%68 W · 55 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Giants9c387.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.948762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Brewers54c370.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.937556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Brewers60c357.91$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.169551.6%49 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers62c356.45$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants40c349.83$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Giants35c345.71$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12117136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants52c335.46$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.679,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Brewers61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8734550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.872,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…0a55backed Brewers63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.462755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bcb…302bbacked Brewers68c294.91$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Brewers61c294.55$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5554455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Brewers54c276.09$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12730740.4%124 W · 183 L-11.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Giants39c257$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2340548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Giants8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Brewers62c248.66$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4911748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Brewers62c246.77$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7799951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Brewers61c233.13$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.921450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Giants39c226.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Brewers63c222.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.221,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Brewers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Brewers62c213$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.941,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.