Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C – Williams vs. Frech (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a51b931d5a7865b00bb0a3a70fac15517ca4cd55006c56097b80d8b89362a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frechof Williams, Frech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Williams | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Frech | 75c | 4,705$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Frech | 75c | 3,915$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.31 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Williams | 23c | 2,919$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.25 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Frech | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Williams | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Frech | 74c | 868.77$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Frech | 77c | 852.8$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.53 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Williams | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Williams | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Frech | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Frech | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Williams | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Williams | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Williams | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Frech | 75c | 99.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Williams | 25c | 97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Williams | 25c | 92.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Williams | 26c | 78.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Williams | 24c | 66.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Frech | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Williams | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Williams | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Frech | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Frech | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Frech | 78c | 40.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…834cbacked Frech | 75c | 26.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed Frech | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Frech | 78c | 17.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Frech | 76c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.