MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a7571779528de53ad1d9d7230ff4a9160de269df0573229adefc64121bcac82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Rangers, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $907,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $907,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $907,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Royals | 50c | 587,481$293,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293,740.39 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 50c | 211,299$105,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,657.27 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Rangers | 51c | 208,015$105,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,987.76 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rangers | 50c | 136,204$68,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,102 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Royals | 49c | 120,465$59,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,437.32 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 50c | 31,163$15,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,643.19 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Royals | 49c | 25,127$12,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,714.76 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Royals | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,750 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rangers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Royals | 77c | 18,062$13,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.62 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 50c | 17,048$8,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,524 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rangers | 50c | 10,273$5,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,122.96 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Rangers | 50c | 8,400$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Royals | 50c | 8,300$4,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.81 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Royals | 49c | 7,698$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.75 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Royals | 47c | 5,874$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105.52 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 55c | 4,124$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Royals | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rangers | 50c | 3,405$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.5 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 51c | 3,096$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.73 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Rangers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rangers | 61c | 2,805$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.05 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Rangers | 43c | 2,269$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Rangers | 51c | 1,476$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.76 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rangers | 58c | 1,169$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.24 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Rangers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Rangers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Rangers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Royals | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Royals | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Rangers | 42c | 805.02$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.93 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Rangers | 49c | 799.95$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.97 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Royals | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Royals | 74c | 743.24$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.24 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rangers | 49c | 643.66$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.1 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Rangers | 27c | 637.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 51c | 600.28$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.85 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rangers | 51c | 588.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Rangers | 51c | 570$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.3 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rangers | 50c | 509$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Royals | 51c | 500$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.88 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Royals | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 55c | 403.83$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 52c | 374.09$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 53c | 348.79$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers | 51c | 334.37$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.53 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Royals | 46c | 330.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Royals | 42c | 301.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Royals | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Rangers | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Rangers | 51c | 213.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 50c | 200.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rangers | 15c | 199.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 49c | 193.77$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 67c | 190$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Rangers | 27c | 160.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rangers | 50c | 159$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 62c | 156.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Royals | 53c | 154.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers | 46c | 140.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rangers | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 50c | 113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.03 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Royals | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Rangers | 42c | 107.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…5c9fbacked Rangers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…30c0backed Rangers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…d545backed Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…bc9ebacked Rangers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98c2…e805backed Rangers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…7764backed Rangers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…504cbacked Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…a0d3backed Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…c108backed Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e28…fb73backed Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f70…63b2backed Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Royals | 50c | 99.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Royals | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Rangers | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Royals | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Royals | 50c | 60.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Royals | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…29f7backed Rangers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f7…f18cbacked Rangers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2b…6963backed Rangers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b9…9bc6backed Royals | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…511abacked Royals | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…1a4abacked Rangers | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63e2…d586backed Royals | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…b2d8backed Royals | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Royals | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.