NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e45adfac1d2ec79f339beede59f963622e7d6ca3b2b1c4f4c77f6249c9ed9a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Nets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 71c | 21,719$15,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,317.16 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nets | 29c | 21,074$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111.46 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Wizards | 63c | 4,758$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.76 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Wizards | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Wizards | 59c | 2,973$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.76 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Nets | 43c | 2,139$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.64 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 30c | 2,050$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Nets | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nets | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Nets | 31c | 1,137$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Nets | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Wizards | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Nets | 29c | 840.67$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.79 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Wizards | 70c | 752.09$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.84 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Wizards | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Wizards | 72c | 444.44$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Wizards | 71c | 423.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.91 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nets | 30c | 299.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Nets | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Wizards | 72c | 299.25$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Wizards | 62c | 293.55$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nets | 34c | 291.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Wizards | 69c | 253.78$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nets | 40c | 252.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Nets | 20c | 240.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Wizards | 80c | 214.09$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Wizards | 70c | 205.71$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wizards | 70c | 201.44$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Wizards | 75c | 179.68$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Wizards | 69c | 137.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Nets | 39c | 133.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Wizards | 72c | 131$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…8994backed Wizards | 72c | 130.54$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Wizards | 62c | 130.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Nets | 30c | 128.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nets | 29c | 124.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Wizards | 70c | 124.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Wizards | 72c | 116.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wizards | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Wizards | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Nets | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…ca51backed Wizards | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Nets | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nets | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Wizards | 64c | 99.79$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Nets | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nets | 29c | 95.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Wizards | 66c | 89.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Nets | 28c | 83.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…7f38backed Wizards | 72c | 81.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Nets | 31c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Nets | 39c | 75.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…0176backed Nets | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Nets | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Nets | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0d…ffb0backed Nets | 46c | 65.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Nets | 31c | 64.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Wizards | 69c | 63.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nets | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nets | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Wizards | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb755…acbabacked Wizards | 70c | 45.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Wizards | 74c | 43.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Nets | 47c | 42.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Wizards | 72c | 40.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | -20.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…25c2backed Nets | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…b47dbacked Wizards | 70c | 35.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba40…b7b7backed Nets | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Wizards | 74c | 34.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Wizards | 69c | 28.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Nets | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 345 | 48.7%168 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…db19backed Wizards | 70c | 21.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Wizards | 75c | 17.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.