MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefeb64430eaac55db65afc864f564c41527803fe662157783513be89a2e718d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Mets, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $760,065
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $865,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,065 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 38c | 427,260$160,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160,254.04 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Mets | 64c | 150,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,000 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mets | 63c | 94,974$59,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,588.32 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Mets | 63c | 53,342$33,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,999.64 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 62c | 31,408$19,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,935.19 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 36c | 25,555$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.8 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Nationals | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.98 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 62c | 19,704$12,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,487.52 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 63c | 17,053$10,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,309.61 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Mets | 64c | 15,700$10,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.38 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 63c | 14,241$8,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.54 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 63c | 13,500$8,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 63c | 12,900$8,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 36c | 10,304$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.47 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Mets | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Mets | 63c | 5,640$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.8 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 64c | 5,555$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.77 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Nationals | 35c | 5,020$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.98 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Mets | 62c | 4,313$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.5 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 40c | 4,272$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Mets | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.05 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mets | 64c | 3,906$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.86 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mets | 63c | 3,860$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nationals | 40c | 3,858$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.32 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Mets | 64c | 3,623$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.58 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 63c | 3,495$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Mets | 63c | 3,300$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Mets | 65c | 3,244$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Mets | 65c | 3,047$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.53 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 63c | 3,016$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.08 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nationals | 36c | 2,628$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Nationals | 37c | 2,577$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.81 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mets | 63c | 2,332$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.75 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 63c | 1,413$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.71 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.97 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 42c | 1,280$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 3c | 1,015$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Mets | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 35c | 921.93$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.68 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 31c | 912.6$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mets | 69c | 895.09$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.23 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Nationals | 5c | 877.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Nationals | 35c | 870.43$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.65 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…a30ebacked Mets | 64c | 843.09$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 36c | 833$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Mets | 65c | 785.05$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.77 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Nationals | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 35c | 615.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mets | 63c | 570$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Mets | 62c | 521.11$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.02 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Nationals | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Nationals | 36c | 486$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 24c | 434.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 71c | 317.78$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.65 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mets | 63c | 316.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mets | 64c | 299$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mets | 63c | 272$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 65c | 269.79$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nationals | 37c | 269.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Mets | 65c | 260.21$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 63c | 237$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 36c | 223.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 37c | 218.32$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mets | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Mets | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Nationals | 36c | 166.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Mets | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mets | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…c5b5backed Mets | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…234abacked Mets | 64c | 152.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 36c | 152.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mets | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Mets | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7ceabacked Mets | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…7fdabacked Nationals | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 63c | 137.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mets | 65c | 128$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Mets | 68c | 123.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mets | 64c | 116.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Mets | 64c | 112.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mets | 64c | 111.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Nationals | 24c | 109.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Mets | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mets | 63c | 102.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Mets | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…6b99backed Mets | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Nationals | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.