MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb99fcce485037217be8c845297786c8c8a4f921f1954c393a3ed2df85938d30a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Mariners, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,154,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,161,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,154,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mariners | 37c | 951,454$352,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352,775.35 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 63c | 356,200$222,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,262.5 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 63c | 173,000$108,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,489.99 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Phillies | 65c | 78,997$51,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,727.68 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 64c | 70,075$44,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,346.25 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 63c | 61,000$38,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,340 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 63c | 60,467$38,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,372.79 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 61c | 37,000$22,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,430 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Phillies | 66c | 33,776$22,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,463.18 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Phillies | 65c | 32,612$21,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,316.71 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 62c | 29,091$18,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,056.18 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37be…c646backed Mariners | 36c | 18,407$6,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,626.54 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 64c | 17,533$11,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,293.31 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Phillies | 65c | 15,500$10,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,425 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Mariners | 35c | 13,772$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.37 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Mariners | 35c | 13,450$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.5 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 63c | 12,900$8,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Phillies | 63c | 12,598$7,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.36 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 63c | 11,300$7,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,181 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Mariners | 35c | 11,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Mariners | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mariners | 35c | 9,514$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.64 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Phillies | 63c | 9,116$5,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.02 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Mariners | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 62c | 6,721$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 63c | 5,952$3,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.04 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Phillies | 63c | 5,620$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.4 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 22c | 5,592$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.48 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Mariners | 37c | 5,010$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Phillies | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Phillies | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 65c | 4,887$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Phillies | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Phillies | 63c | 3,333$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.21 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 62c | 1,835$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.3 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Phillies | 65c | 1,692$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.31 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Phillies | 64c | 1,511$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.72 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd06…73a2backed Mariners | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…a7e9backed Mariners | 38c | 1,461$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…bfb0backed Mariners | 38c | 1,460$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Phillies | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…560dbacked Phillies | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Mariners | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.95 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mariners | 32c | 1,260$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 10c | 1,223$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…fbe3backed Phillies | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,126$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.32 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Mariners | 42c | 1,044$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Phillies | 65c | 1,035$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.38 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Mariners | 36c | 1,029$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…de4fbacked Mariners | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Phillies | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…515fbacked Mariners | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Mariners | 35c | 979.72$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.9 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…12e0backed Phillies | 62c | 966$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Mariners | 35c | 946.59$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.31 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe951…8df2backed Phillies | 62c | 933.99$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Mariners | 37c | 921.98$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.13 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3984backed Mariners | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Mariners | 35c | 897.14$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mariners | 28c | 863.41$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.75 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2a…a437backed Phillies | 62c | 826$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Phillies | 69c | 813.7$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.75 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8570…52b5backed Phillies | 62c | 813$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Phillies | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mariners | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Phillies | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc1…1d10backed Mariners | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…6a3cbacked Mariners | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Phillies | 64c | 780.02$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.81 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80c4…fe7bbacked Phillies | 62c | 776$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…1606backed Phillies | 62c | 774$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Mariners | 37c | 760.62$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.43 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mariners | 8c | 756.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Mariners | 37c | 750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Mariners | 25c | 738.8$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.73 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Mariners | 41c | 737.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Mariners | 35c | 726.91$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.42 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Mariners | 36c | 719.44$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 65c | 715$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Mariners | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…e55abacked Phillies | 62c | 684$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Mariners | 16c | 678.64$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 65c | 648.96$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.62 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…59a2backed Phillies | 62c | 648$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Mariners | 37c | 615.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Phillies | 65c | 570$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 9c | 511.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Mariners | 14c | 506.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Mariners | 36c | 486$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mariners | 34c | 482.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.1 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 63c | 482.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.56 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Mariners | 35c | 470$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Mariners | 37c | 469.37$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.67 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 71c | 417.66$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Phillies | 64c | 402.27$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mariners | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.