NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. 76ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22088efa02f47bfc3d95e397b5ccb05885888a940fd9e1940ab32f2a2158d97c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Grizzlies, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked 76ers | 47c | 36,284$17,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,150.51 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 25,772$13,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,338.22 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed 76ers | 54c | 22,722$12,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,449.33 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Grizzlies | 48c | 22,371$10,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,775.16 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Grizzlies | 50c | 5,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5be…85b4backed Grizzlies | 53c | 3,410$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.98 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked 76ers | 50c | 2,568$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,478$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.77 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Grizzlies | 42c | 2,024$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.91 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,793$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…24debacked 76ers | 47c | 1,150$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a36…39aabacked 76ers | 47c | 1,138$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e5a6backed 76ers | 47c | 1,128$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed 76ers | 48c | 999.95$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.97 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 873$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Grizzlies | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked 76ers | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Grizzlies | 47c | 468.2$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.03 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Grizzlies | 45c | 460$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…4e7cbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 384.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked 76ers | 44c | 377.47$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.38 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d52…d785backed Grizzlies | 51c | 344.44$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…53e9backed 76ers | 66c | 319.62$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Grizzlies | 8c | 273.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Grizzlies | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed 76ers | 43c | 270.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e624backed 76ers | 49c | 260$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Grizzlies | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked 76ers | 45c | 247$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Grizzlies | 65c | 244.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 227.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Grizzlies | 56c | 223.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Grizzlies | 46c | 217.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked 76ers | 47c | 214.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Grizzlies | 55c | 205.93$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed 76ers | 76c | 191.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Grizzlies | 24c | 191.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked 76ers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 171$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Grizzlies | 34c | 159.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed 76ers | 45c | 140.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…5dd7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 135$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…dd65backed 76ers | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Grizzlies | 42c | 132$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 210 | 62.9%132 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…8b04backed Grizzlies | 53c | 132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be8…1dd6backed 76ers | 47c | 132$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Grizzlies | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…75a9backed Grizzlies | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 108$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Grizzlies | 43c | 95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ae…52edbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 90$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Grizzlies | 53c | 82.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked 76ers | 46c | 80.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d31…a864backed 76ers | 54c | 80.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Grizzlies | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked 76ers | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked 76ers | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Grizzlies | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Grizzlies | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed 76ers | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…592cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…2194backed Grizzlies | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed 76ers | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed 76ers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc9…04e5backed Grizzlies | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…1b48backed Grizzlies | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5c…df4ebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 37.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Grizzlies | 53c | 37.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d3…4284backed Grizzlies | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…b0c0backed Grizzlies | 60c | 30.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Grizzlies | 49c | 28.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…fe76backed 76ers | 53c | 27.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…fe9ebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 26.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…e9c0backed Grizzlies | 55c | 25.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 107 | 24.3%26 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…d72bbacked 76ers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked 76ers | 54c | 19.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.