Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Ruse vs. Keys (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe4b7e89c4731e20b582e1161a62c91a64437686a28cfad3cfd97d8163d914aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keys of Ruse , Keys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Keys | 77c | 12,219$9,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.36 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Ruse | 53c | 8,294$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.84 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Ruse | 23c | 3,324$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.94 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Ruse | 23c | 2,858$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Ruse | 23c | 2,603$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.1 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Keys | 56c | 2,523$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.48 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Ruse | 23c | 2,359$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.09 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd873…35dabacked Ruse | 23c | 2,188$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…063bbacked Ruse | 23c | 1,930$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Keys | 77c | 1,818$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.15 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Ruse | 39c | 1,594$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.92 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Keys | 60c | 1,220$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.97 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ruse | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Ruse | 23c | 919.35$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.43 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Keys | 60c | 831.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Keys | 62c | 807.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.06 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Ruse | 28c | 722.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Keys | 79c | 633.98$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec4…e6a5backed Ruse | 22c | 535.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Keys | 60c | 526.47$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.49 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…98c3backed Ruse | 23c | 525.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.77 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Keys | 69c | 434.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.72 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Ruse | 23c | 427.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Keys | 72c | 303$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Keys | 65c | 240.35$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.12 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Keys | 78c | 221.96$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ruse | 12c | 205$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Ruse | 24c | 198.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ruse | 33c | 198$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Keys | 78c | 182.02$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a5…3d26backed Keys | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…93e7backed Keys | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Ruse | 39c | 120.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Ruse | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Keys | 80c | 95.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Ruse | 22c | 81.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Keys | 73c | 74.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Ruse | 18c | 69.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ruse | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…94e5backed Ruse | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Keys | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Keys | 66c | 37.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Keys | 63c | 36.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…2b83backed Keys | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…3b47backed Keys | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a49…0416backed Keys | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Keys | 67c | 20.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…88d5backed Keys | 78c | 14.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.