TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x666b…2b83

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$155
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$58.8
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$69.98
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$144.62
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.99
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Dortmund (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$120
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
FIFA Club World Cup: Dortmund vs. Monterrey (To Advance) backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$89.08
FIFA Club World Cup: Real Madrid vs. Juventus (To Advance) backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$48.6
FIFA Club World Cup: Flamengo vs. Bayern Munich (To Advance)backed Bayern Munich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$66.21
FIFA Club World Cup: Benfica vs. Chelsea (To Advance)backed Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.72
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Botafogo (To Advance)backed Botafogo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Flamengo beat LAFC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Chelsea beat Esperance Sportive?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$29.87
Will Urawa Red Diamonds beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Inter Milan beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+207.4%+$64.1
Bayern Munich vs. Boca Juniors: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Flamengo beat Chelsea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Flamengo vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20
Will Inter Miami beat FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$38.5
Bayern Munich vs. Auckland City: 5+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.05
US Open: Lloyd Harris vs Taylor Fritzbacked Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$360
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$140
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
Will Aleksandar Kovacevic win the 2025 ATP Los Cabos tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Nordea Open: Carabelli vs. De Jongbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.17
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will Iga Swiatek win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$64
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$100.1
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Samsonova (W) backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+37%+$160.45
Wimbledon: Anisimova vs. Pavlyuchenkovabacked Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+108.8%+$18.36
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Tauson (W) backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$77
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$71.9
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. Collins (W)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Wimbledon: Krejcikova vs. Navarro (W) backed Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.5
Wimbledon: Fucsovics vs. Monfilsbacked Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Wimbledon: Draper vs. Cilic backed Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.8
Wimbledon: Ruse vs. Keys (W) backed Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
HSBC Championships: Alcaraz vs. Leheckabacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$158
Terra Wortmann: Medvedev vs. Bublik backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Terra Wortmann: Medvedev vs. Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$30.65
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+122.7%+$135.01
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+153.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$99.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$87.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$32.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$184
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.