TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Draper vs. Cilic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cilic of Draper, Cilic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa815…a3c3backed Draper69c11,667$8,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,086.6413253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Draper9c8,439$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.931,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cilic 55c7,632$4,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,467.611,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Cilic 12c6,084$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,353.8822037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Cilic 50c5,732$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.4732141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f3…759dbacked Draper37c5,334$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.611127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Cilic 64c5,123$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.912737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf747…f687backed Cilic 13c5,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,349.973253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Cilic 55c4,967$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.5628043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14f…7926backed Draper50c4,424$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Draper42c3,655$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5533545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Draper51c3,564$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.55545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Cilic 32c2,562$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.5625134.3%86 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Draper34c2,455$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.066530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Draper42c2,390$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9e…74aebacked Draper35c2,187$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.221711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f7…58dbbacked Cilic 56c1,500$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.55253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Cilic 15c1,206$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.797943%34 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b9…4267backed Cilic 66c1,147$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.774450%22 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cilic 15c1,000$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.2973147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Cilic 18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82022021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…a496backed Cilic 65c1,000$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.854940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e67…91b0backed Draper48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Draper46c994.96$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.685147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Cilic 50c950$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4754040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed Draper49c921.33$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.4510839.8%43 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Cilic 51c878.95$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.0518740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed Draper50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002718.5%5 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Draper54c796.33$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.6381938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Draper33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Cilic 50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.242927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Draper49c679.59$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33312038.3%46 W · 74 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cilic 15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6748043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cilic 15c666.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6763942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Draper32c657.91$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.441421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-63.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Cilic 52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1110729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…3a28backed Cilic 13c598.78$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.782133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Draper33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16528543.5%124 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…933abacked Cilic 55c484.02$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.812161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7d…4eebbacked Draper53c480$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.383030%9 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Draper52c399.78$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.262864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Draper51c389.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20096035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cilic 45c357.11$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4139144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Draper62c350$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2171520%3 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-63.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Cilic 60c331.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.879348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Cilic 18c315.78$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.946832.4%22 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Draper64c313.88$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9225043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b6b…d4d8backed Cilic 59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1232040%8 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0b8…87c1backed Draper51c295.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Draper26c277.1$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9510138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Cilic 50c259.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Cilic 36c258.9$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.389130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Cilic 68c233$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.42751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Draper71c219.02$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3215961%97 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Draper48c206.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Cilic 51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.083836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Cilic 13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1741,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Draper25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Cilic 58c196$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.748943.8%39 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Draper53c189.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Cilic 53c187.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.416376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Draper31c160$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.82119%4 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+84%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Draper52c153.62$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Draper31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.525330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Cilic 19c140.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.437236.1%26 W · 46 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e1…9c10backed Cilic 71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857061.4%43 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…c43abacked Draper30c132.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-66.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Draper65c122.1$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.23447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Cilic 27c116.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8614456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed Draper47c115$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.053345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cilic 56c113.41$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Draper49c103.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6224529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Draper50c100.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Cilic 13c100$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8720431.4%64 W · 140 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Draper50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed Cilic 49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8965…fda0backed Draper56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked Cilic 12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1123…0d76backed Cilic 57c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Draper46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b36…b398backed Draper52c98.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick50cpaid-78.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Cilic 12c91.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8513934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Cilic 13c77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.991,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Draper40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Draper43c69.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa90b…5ca7backed Draper63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Draper50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016446.3%76 W · 88 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7468…d218backed Draper52c51.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe581…b0f5backed Draper30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15185.6%1 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-84.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7420…4567backed Cilic 65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x666b…2b83backed Draper47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6023…a142backed Draper48c39.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Cilic 54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0413044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Cilic 42c33.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.34944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd02d…efaebacked Cilic 49c32.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.751450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c3…b35abacked Cilic 50c32.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.093348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb36c…0e2fbacked Draper63c31.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc11…3761backed Draper64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.41per pick52cpaid-85.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x083d…4d61backed Draper40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabdd…a3cabacked Cilic 78c24.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.531963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.