TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee7d…4eeb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 50 out of 100; worst CS2 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Kitzbuhel – Cazaux vs. Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.79
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Raducanu (W)backed Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.85
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Fokina backed Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.4
Wimbledon: Draper vs. Cilic backed Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.38
Wimbledon: Evans vs. Djokovicbacked Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Diallo backed Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Harrisbacked Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.42
Wimbledon: Norrie vs. Tiafoe backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+56.8%+$246.74
Wimbledon: Danilovic vs. Keys (W) backed Danilovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Wimbledon: Muller vs. Djokovicbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.6
Wimbledon: Rinderknech vs. Zverevbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+122.1%+$176.62
Wimbledon: Fognini vs. Alcaraz backed Fognini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.16
Wimbledon: Bonzi vs. Medvedevbacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+291.4%+$225.69
Mallorca Championships: Michelsen vs. Bautista Agutbacked Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Brooksby vs. Evansbacked Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.32
HSBC Championships: Nakashima vs. Draper backed Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.4
HSBC Championships: Evans vs. Nakashimabacked Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.66
Terra Wortmann: Michelsen vs. Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
HSBC Championships: Popyrin vs. Draper backed Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.9
HSBC Championships: Thompson vs. Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$42
HSBC Championships: De Minaur vs. Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+201.5%+$54.55
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+537.1%+$87.58
Will Lois Boisson win the 2025 French Open? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$3.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+64.5%+$28.79
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on April 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.61
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.84
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+181.9%+$77.25
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.23
Will the highest temperature in London be 52°F or below on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.7
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$8.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Spiritbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.