Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Evans vs. Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x706c76fe85725c247ce0eb4b7538af562a784cd94371d14a6aab959616562f6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Evans , Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Evans | 4c | 14,795$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.8 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Evans | 2c | 5,577$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Evans | 4c | 5,069$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.43 | 290 | 28.3%82 W · 208 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…91f9backed Evans | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Evans | 5c | 1,640$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Evans | 7c | 1,397$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Evans | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Evans | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Evans | 4c | 944.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Evans | 5c | 902.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe581…b0f5backed Evans | 5c | 873.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…74aebacked Evans | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Evans | 5c | 683.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…4eebbacked Evans | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Evans | 8c | 509.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Evans | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Evans | 4c | 458.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Evans | 4c | 457.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Evans | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Evans | 4c | 410$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Evans | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Evans | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Evans | 7c | 322$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Evans | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Evans | 4c | 267$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…d4d8backed Evans | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Evans | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Evans | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.