Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: De Minaur vs. Lehecka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf4b843ec04fbc2307ab2272592cd07118d564847bccfd369cb712873099c55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof De Minaur, Lehecka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Lehecka | 31c | 6,800$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked De Minaur | 69c | 6,500$4,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485.28 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed De Minaur | 52c | 2,000$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.73 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Lehecka | 31c | 1,606$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.68 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed De Minaur | 73c | 1,582$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.68 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Lehecka | 31c | 1,313$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.5 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Lehecka | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed De Minaur | 20c | 970.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.48 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…6f28backed Lehecka | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed De Minaur | 68c | 900$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked De Minaur | 70c | 688.01$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.61 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Lehecka | 73c | 661$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.39 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Lehecka | 72c | 578.31$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.37 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Lehecka | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Lehecka | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked De Minaur | 59c | 278$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked De Minaur | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed De Minaur | 70c | 165.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked De Minaur | 68c | 144.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed De Minaur | 70c | 143.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked De Minaur | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed De Minaur | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Lehecka | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7d…4eebbacked Lehecka | 33c | 81.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Lehecka | 71c | 70.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked De Minaur | 69c | 68.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Lehecka | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed De Minaur | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Lehecka | 45c | 49.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed De Minaur | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed De Minaur | 69c | 30.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…f7edbacked De Minaur | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Lehecka | 75c | 13.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.