TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Raducanu (W)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Raducanu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3151…0977backed Raducanu19c33,376$6,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,396.510845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Raducanu20c10,704$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.171,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Sabalenka80c8,115$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.775545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda93…f09cbacked Raducanu18c7,688$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.68616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0075…079cbacked Sabalenka78c6,405$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Raducanu21c6,149$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.732141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Raducanu24c5,980$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.6439144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Sabalenka78c5,425$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.122263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Raducanu22c5,082$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.062317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Raducanu21c4,986$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.4724229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ff…63f7backed Sabalenka78c4,498$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Raducanu20c4,003$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.181,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Raducanu20c3,734$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7308831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Raducanu15c3,578$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.895525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Raducanu22c2,438$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.383933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Sabalenka61c2,009$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Sabalenka71c1,875$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.254030%12 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Raducanu16c1,421$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0810138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Raducanu22c1,370$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.422021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc092…b2cabacked Raducanu2c1,257$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Raducanu8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba0…471ebacked Raducanu32c1,108$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.871070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Sabalenka77c1,073$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.5328043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…0453backed Raducanu10c1,014$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Raducanu24c1,012$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.026530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Sabalenka79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21012954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Raducanu35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4320…4b02backed Sabalenka77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+322.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf7b…391fbacked Sabalenka77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd54…7231backed Raducanu23c945$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sabalenka76c902.61$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.471,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Raducanu23c900$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20729636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf963…f31cbacked Raducanu23c820$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Raducanu25c804.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Raducanu21c763.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4428828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Raducanu19c700$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3124…014bbacked Raducanu5c692.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.732030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-30.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb72…8b01backed Sabalenka52c680.21$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.51931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-52%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raducanu21c625$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9562742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Raducanu18c621.51$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.629652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee7d…4eebbacked Raducanu43c592.67$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.853030%9 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d4…da34backed Raducanu14c550.35$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.051258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd02…60e0backed Sabalenka65c509$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.234845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Sabalenka80c500.9$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.189742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Raducanu24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a1…d31fbacked Raducanu17c500$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Raducanu21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002924.1%7 W · 22 L-6.4wins-0.22per pick46cpaid-61.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Sabalenka80c463.59$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.56922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-70.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2516…f107backed Raducanu22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Raducanu44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015439.6%61 W · 93 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Raducanu23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd22d…6e49backed Raducanu14c434.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e8…dde4backed Raducanu23c433.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b8…87c1backed Sabalenka79c406.18$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.851566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Raducanu21c403.98$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8411230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Raducanu25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Sabalenka77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Sabalenka80c393.64$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7929553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Sabalenka78c384.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6225244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Sabalenka79c383.22$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.79149.5%45 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Sabalenka78c360.26$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2613864.5%89 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Raducanu35c353.23$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-50.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Sabalenka79c350.18$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7214456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Raducanu23c349.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8152750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e25…96d6backed Raducanu33c301.52$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Raducanu22c290.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6412038.3%46 W · 74 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…0e92backed Raducanu10c288.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Raducanu22c285$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.911,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff43…2ce8backed Sabalenka78c269.46$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.461030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Raducanu37c268.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d2…a5fcbacked Sabalenka78c260.26$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.261060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a69…b862backed Sabalenka79c255.68$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd22c…53e9backed Sabalenka79c245.57$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.573056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Raducanu22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Raducanu24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Raducanu27c205.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.953946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe611…0ae4backed Sabalenka78c205.13$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.134052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed Sabalenka79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4213762.8%86 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Raducanu22c199.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f68…d97dbacked Raducanu23c165$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Sabalenka59c160.77$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.382657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e1…9c10backed Sabalenka74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.147061.4%43 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Sabalenka79c134.24$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec55…64bbbacked Raducanu23c132.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Sabalenka78c129.76$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5532161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9839…040ebacked Raducanu24c127.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.283135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Raducanu19c122.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3749632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Sabalenka79c107.63$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7915961%97 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Raducanu29c105.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.482050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Sabalenka78c102.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.566949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Raducanu24c101.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f7…58dbbacked Sabalenka67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Sabalenka79c91.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6689850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Raducanu22c90.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8320431.4%64 W · 140 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb82…8957backed Sabalenka69c81.93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.78450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x860f…422ebacked Sabalenka78c65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.32157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Raducanu20c62.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa90b…5ca7backed Sabalenka70c57.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.452268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3522…4192backed Sabalenka65c56.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb4…9040backed Raducanu36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.