TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35e8…dde4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Toronto – Khachanov vs. Sheltonbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
WTA Montreal – Mboko vs. Osakabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
ATP Toronto – Shelton vs. Fritzbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+150%+$82.17
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+88.6%+$55.98
ATP Toronto – Michelsen vs. Khachanovbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.14
ATP Toronto – Lehecka vs. Fritzbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.13
ATP Toronto – Michelsen vs. Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$83
ATP Toronto – Cobolli vs. Marozsanbacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$45.61
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Arnaldibacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.34
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$288.66
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+111.2%+$140.39
Wimbledon: Cobolli vs. Djokovic backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.44
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.88
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.76
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$196.43
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$212.62
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie backed Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$108.26
Wimbledon: Sierra vs. Siegemund (W)backed Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon: Kartal vs. Pavlyuchenkova (W) backed Kartal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.39
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Cocciaretto (W) backed Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pirates vs. Marinersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Angels vs. Bravesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Top Esports vs. Team WEbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+126.6%+$63.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Storm vs Dreambacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. Liquidbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.