TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Norrie

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Norrie of Jarry , Norrie
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$295,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,556

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Jarry 5c49,984$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.439144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Jarry 28c24,449$6,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,829.6628043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jarry 32c18,433$5,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,852.631,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Norrie 66c16,400$10,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5761566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa56…f232backed Jarry 33c13,325$4,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,404.211435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Jarry 46c9,737$4,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.0722037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Norrie 51c8,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.999137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Norrie 58c7,409$4,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.0959553.8%320 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Jarry 29c4,227$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.8232141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Jarry 28c4,166$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.485525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Norrie 76c3,964$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.2510138.6%39 W · 62 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x702b…d274backed Jarry 46c2,792$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.321435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Norrie 54c2,406$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.988831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f7…58dbbacked Norrie 51c2,400$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1765253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Jarry 32c2,325$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.149130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3210…5c4ebacked Jarry 38c2,009$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.182133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Jarry 50c1,958$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9706835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Norrie 52c1,800$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85943042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Jarry 32c1,700$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5365545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Jarry 31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jarry 45c1,584$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.21,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Norrie 71c1,501$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.696254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Jarry 47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70515452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f41…a496backed Norrie 55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6754940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Jarry 48c1,500$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.0313934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Norrie 53c1,471$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.7911230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb51f…482fbacked Jarry 34c1,346$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.5540%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Jarry 47c1,286$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.728718.4%16 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x625c…61d1backed Norrie 68c1,238$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed Jarry 33c1,213$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002718.5%5 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Norrie 61c1,200$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47012954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Norrie 52c1,111$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2722344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Jarry 21c1,080$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.556832.4%22 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0447…60abbacked Norrie 70c1,070$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.422075%15 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Jarry 33c1,070$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.410729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97be…416dbacked Jarry 21c1,033$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.491631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd22c…53e9backed Jarry 38c1,032$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3963056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Jarry 30c1,017$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.436338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed Norrie 71c1,012$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3610839.8%43 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Norrie 51c999.99$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48540144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf99f…1709backed Norrie 55c999.61$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.611070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Jarry 28c953.99$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.211859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Norrie 53c944$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.682653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Norrie 53c940.89$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.267335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Jarry 43c928$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.6812737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Norrie 70c886$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.861,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Jarry 37c820$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30411652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jarry 32c750$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Jarry 6c749.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.757943%34 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac6…f6eabacked Jarry 17c677.71$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.21922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba0…471ebacked Jarry 31c674.71$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.291070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23b9…4267backed Jarry 33c668.49$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2224450%22 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Jarry 47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Jarry 13c578.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.175540%22 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Norrie 72c500$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1391729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…e170backed Jarry 22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Norrie 72c497.78$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.371,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Jarry 37c429.73$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15915439.6%61 W · 93 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Jarry 48c416.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.869453.2%50 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Norrie 68c400$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Jarry 19c392.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5132031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Norrie 54c370.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7413356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Jarry 31c344.8$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1076331.7%20 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x37e9…3a28backed Norrie 53c338.77$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.222133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed Jarry 34c338.24$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Jarry 15c319.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.983537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1421…644bbacked Jarry 26c316$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.082128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Jarry 48c313$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2447639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jarry 46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1381,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Jarry 37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11112038.3%46 W · 74 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Jarry 55c288.82$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15936047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d0f…933abacked Norrie 54c282.56$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.982161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Norrie 70c268.73$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9623271.1%165 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x355a…98a6backed Jarry 41c241.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018839.9%75 W · 113 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e8…dde4backed Norrie 53c230.34$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.263441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Jarry 28c226.71$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4313044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Jarry 53c225.74$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.641421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-63.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab3e…6939backed Jarry 19c224$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425617.9%10 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jarry 46c217$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8263942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jarry 47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Jarry 48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe164…340bbacked Norrie 79c208.11$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Jarry 48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9625244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Norrie 64c193.03$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7213864.5%89 W · 49 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Norrie 71c193$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.761464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Jarry 32c190$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.82133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Norrie 54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Norrie 54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Norrie 54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Jarry 47c183.05$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.036376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdef7…4fd2backed Norrie 52c175$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…1d48backed Norrie 61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.935360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeec7…08c6backed Jarry 32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Jarry 32c156$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9224529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Norrie 70c154.29$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2911060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbd10…f4bcbacked Norrie 65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Norrie 72c139.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9717767.2%119 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Jarry 31c132.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Norrie 71c102.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Norrie 50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5020431.4%64 W · 140 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.