TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cobolli of Cilic, Cobolli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$444,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$547,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $444,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52ad…337dbacked Cilic48c56,032$27,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,135.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cilic19c44,728$8,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,443.6739144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cilic15c39,145$5,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,771.251,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Cobolli 51c33,333$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,333.152317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Cobolli 52c22,179$11,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,645.82152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Cilic48c20,100$9,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,647.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cobolli 52c17,518$9,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4843336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Cobolli 53c17,095$9,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,047.283641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Cilic15c16,222$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.5728043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Cilic48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20022037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Cobolli 52c12,222$6,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,866.5652844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cobolli 79c10,254$8,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.651,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Cilic19c9,016$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.919130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3210…5c4ebacked Cilic32c7,620$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.082133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Cilic19c6,065$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.9132141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f7…58dbbacked Cobolli 70c5,850$4,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.55253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Cilic49c5,057$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.694744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2360…1c1cbacked Cobolli 55c4,384$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.258831.8%28 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Cilic49c4,260$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.628443%122 W · 162 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Cilic15c3,278$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.1318740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Cilic27c3,274$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.5524634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Cobolli 66c3,020$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.521464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Cobolli 52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44015452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f41…a496backed Cobolli 54c2,550$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1734940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Cilic47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1755545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Cobolli 70c2,349$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.796376.2%48 W · 15 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5976…91f9backed Cilic28c2,304$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.171921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Cilic49c2,288$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.059935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Cobolli 53c1,885$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.115525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed Cobolli 64c1,591$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.2510839.8%43 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Cobolli 51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73511652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Cobolli 66c1,444$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.591,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Cobolli 51c1,368$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.871833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cilic47c1,317$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.931,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Cilic46c1,296$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.049652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Cilic15c1,063$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3710729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Cobolli 53c1,024$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.312038.3%46 W · 74 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Cobolli 77c1,007$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2122344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cilic48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d98…af0ebacked Cilic24c983.75$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Cobolli 55c940$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.512954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cilic46c929.77$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.79137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Cobolli 78c925.98$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.563265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Cilic46c858.99$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.146835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Cilic10c858.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.96136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Cobolli 51c857$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.938718.4%16 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Cilic29c774.33$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.86832.4%22 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cilic46c761$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0662742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd22c…53e9backed Cilic50c751.53$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.333056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99f…1709backed Cobolli 53c749.39$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.391070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Cobolli 72c710$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.243948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Cilic48c650$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31229636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Cilic27c640.63$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9796035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa239…89d6backed Cilic13c640$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Cilic26c620.25$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.562759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Cobolli 76c600$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14762952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Cobolli 49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed Cobolli 72c575$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0513762.8%86 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Cobolli 53c545.7$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.4829553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf909…2b17backed Cilic48c525.2$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x355a…98a6backed Cilic19c516.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018839.9%75 W · 113 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Cilic27c515.18$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14112253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Cilic21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10566831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Cobolli 73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Cilic48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403447.1%16 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked Cilic46c499.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304829.2%14 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cilic46c474$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0495140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e8…dde4backed Cobolli 52c442.96$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.623441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Cilic49c409.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Cobolli 53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.363638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc287…f30dbacked Cilic51c366.69$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1873253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Cobolli 60c342.87$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.084955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Cilic45c334.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7547639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x088c…3f3ebacked Cobolli 74c332.18$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.343262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Cobolli 62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Cilic49c304.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d30…b2b3backed Cilic27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Cilic47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16c…57d6backed Cilic28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Cilic36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Cobolli 54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7812552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e98…0ab2backed Cobolli 71c257$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Cobolli 53c256$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.77943%34 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac6…f6eabacked Cilic25c254.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.12922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Cilic32c215.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.733545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cilic49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cilic49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d2…987ebacked Cobolli 54c201.85$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed Cilic12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Cilic47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9420431.4%64 W · 140 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Cilic25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…1d48backed Cobolli 71c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Cilic49c199.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7232161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Cilic25c192.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496331.7%20 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Cilic49c184.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9025352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Cilic30c183.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5536047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Cobolli 77c180$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a62…57cabacked Cilic30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503540%14 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a5…3d26backed Cilic15c158.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.722035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Cobolli 59c155.97$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6717349.1%85 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.