MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x909106d19e5274aa879c717fc0be9decc9231a79dd2146bca653a6aa8c9533c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Pirates, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7225…293abacked Pirates | 39c | 17,732$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Mariners | 60c | 10,474$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.71 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 61c | 9,497$5,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.59 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 77c | 8,640$6,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 39c | 6,825$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.93 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Pirates | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mariners | 60c | 6,661$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.25 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners | 68c | 6,217$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.25 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pirates | 40c | 6,080$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.9 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 38c | 5,271$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 62c | 4,964$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.17 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…e0aebacked Mariners | 62c | 4,484$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.87 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 38c | 4,210$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Pirates | 22c | 3,597$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners | 65c | 3,475$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.48 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 39c | 3,391$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Mariners | 62c | 2,135$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Pirates | 38c | 1,700$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…a851backed Mariners | 62c | 1,699$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 62c | 1,536$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.77 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Pirates | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 61c | 1,440$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.62 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 60c | 1,331$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.55 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Mariners | 62c | 1,132$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.19 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mariners | 61c | 1,110$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.98 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Pirates | 30c | 1,092$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.56 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 61c | 1,016$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Mariners | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mariners | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 61c | 913.15$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.65 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaa…c284backed Pirates | 21c | 892.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Pirates | 38c | 883.51$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.73 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 38c | 772.44$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.48 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pirates | 37c | 662.68$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.19 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Pirates | 36c | 632.39$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.66 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 68c | 621.87$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Pirates | 24c | 600$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pirates | 4c | 593$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Pirates | 36c | 492.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Pirates | 35c | 458.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Pirates | 42c | 395.28$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Pirates | 39c | 382.41$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…6bf8backed Pirates | 41c | 377$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 63c | 350.95$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.85 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mariners | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates | 39c | 319.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.71 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Mariners | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 25c | 300$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pirates | 37c | 273.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Pirates | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners | 62c | 265.59$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Pirates | 39c | 256.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Pirates | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Pirates | 40c | 246.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 40c | 244$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Mariners | 64c | 234.12$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mariners | 63c | 221.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c78…b86cbacked Pirates | 39c | 212.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861e…c8f6backed Pirates | 39c | 212.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Pirates | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Mariners | 60c | 200$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mariners | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Mariners | 64c | 179.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Mariners | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Mariners | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…dde4backed Pirates | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mariners | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Pirates | 17c | 158.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Mariners | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Mariners | 68c | 155.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Pirates | 27c | 153$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mariners | 59c | 152$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Mariners | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Pirates | 37c | 145.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Pirates | 18c | 145.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Pirates | 29c | 139.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Mariners | 75c | 132.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…13bfbacked Mariners | 61c | 127.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…c6bcbacked Pirates | 40c | 127.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Pirates | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pirates | 39c | 112.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Pirates | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 62c | 109.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Pirates | 25c | 107$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…c5cebacked Mariners | 61c | 106.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…9155backed Mariners | 61c | 104.91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1a…f1b7backed Pirates | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 60c | 101.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.