Tennis · resolved market
ATP Toronto – Khachanov vs. Shelton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ee414c7a04113079ecfc95514dcade3ef1841566f9731972566fe705013d844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Khachanov, Shelton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Shelton | 71c | 68,600$48,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,924 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Khachanov | 29c | 65,746$19,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,066.2 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Khachanov | 44c | 24,294$10,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,788.71 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Shelton | 64c | 12,822$8,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.58 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…8c83backed Shelton | 34c | 6,585$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,345.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Khachanov | 47c | 5,644$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.77 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Khachanov | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Shelton | 57c | 5,000$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.26 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Shelton | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Shelton | 66c | 4,000$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.78 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Khachanov | 35c | 2,003$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.92 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Khachanov | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Khachanov | 36c | 1,245$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.51 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Shelton | 65c | 1,200$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Shelton | 54c | 1,119$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.28 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Khachanov | 34c | 1,109$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.12 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Khachanov | 37c | 815.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Khachanov | 59c | 809.9$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Shelton | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…7dd1backed Shelton | 46c | 756.02$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Khachanov | 47c | 711.5$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Khachanov | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Shelton | 65c | 692.31$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Shelton | 55c | 583.64$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Shelton | 53c | 576.05$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.8 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Shelton | 33c | 500$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Khachanov | 35c | 407.7$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Khachanov | 41c | 371$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Shelton | 39c | 350$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Shelton | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Shelton | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Shelton | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Shelton | 63c | 250$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c0…a00ebacked Khachanov | 48c | 245.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…dde4backed Khachanov | 48c | 241.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Khachanov | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Khachanov | 43c | 226.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Shelton | 40c | 210$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Khachanov | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Shelton | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088c…3f3ebacked Shelton | 64c | 171.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Shelton | 58c | 171.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Shelton | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…060ebacked Khachanov | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Khachanov | 35c | 130.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…4919backed Shelton | 54c | 121.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Shelton | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed Shelton | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Shelton | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Khachanov | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked Shelton | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…315dbacked Khachanov | 37c | 80.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Shelton | 62c | 74.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Khachanov | 40c | 61.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Shelton | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…c992backed Shelton | 61c | 50.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Shelton | 65c | 39.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Khachanov | 51c | 33.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Shelton | 65c | 30.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Shelton | 63c | 22.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.