TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Fritz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alcaraz of Alcaraz , Fritz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,678,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,593,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,678,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e11…9bacbacked Fritz 17c307,122$52,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,648.293050%15 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Fritz 7c77,790$5,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,822.957939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Fritz 8c76,711$5,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,844.494548.9%22 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Fritz 17c61,312$10,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,422.9916242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Fritz 8c57,424$4,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,708.1310845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Fritz 7c50,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Fritz 17c35,747$5,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,920.1652844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Fritz 24c35,499$8,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,564.699935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Fritz 17c30,078$5,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,113.2222344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Fritz 18c25,666$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.255525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Fritz 17c25,000$4,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,25012231.1%38 W · 84 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Fritz 8c23,432$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,874.62657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Fritz 16c17,989$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.182317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Fritz 18c16,667$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef0…657ebacked Fritz 11c15,151$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.861127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Fritz 3c14,300$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.626530.8%20 W · 45 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Fritz 17c11,616$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.686541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Fritz 14c11,401$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.729130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Fritz 17c10,750$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.023336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…759dbacked Fritz 11c10,380$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.11127.3%3 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Alcaraz 80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00064755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Fritz 10c8,680$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.6922344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Fritz 17c8,038$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.366136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Fritz 17c6,201$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.1795140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Fritz 9c5,907$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Fritz 6c5,068$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.441145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+63.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Fritz 16c4,355$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.839144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Fritz 11c4,334$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.1212737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…a496backed Alcaraz 79c4,000$3,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8304940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Fritz 26c3,632$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.2325722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e04…e491backed Fritz 2c3,431$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.691643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x253d…3307backed Fritz 9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80da…4f6dbacked Fritz 16c3,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.991225%3 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-39%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Fritz 25c2,768$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.086338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb438…b113backed Fritz 9c2,760$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.994537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Fritz 13c2,672$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.63215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-66.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Alcaraz 80c2,550$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9962742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Fritz 17c2,256$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.559652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Fritz 18c2,145$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.162035%7 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Fritz 15c2,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102825%7 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Fritz 21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42073147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf884…f5b2backed Alcaraz 76c1,961$1,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.761172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Fritz 26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017818%32 W · 146 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Fritz 12c1,841$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3632141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf087…0684backed Fritz 9c1,797$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16590%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9a…12debacked Fritz 17c1,794$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1421…644bbacked Fritz 18c1,770$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.072128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7003…bc5abacked Alcaraz 76c1,756$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.32475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Fritz 11c1,597$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.917028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Fritz 8c1,583$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3752750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Fritz 18c1,556$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Fritz 10c1,299$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1286835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3fb…8179backed Alcaraz 77c1,289$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.253063.3%19 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2831…c51cbacked Fritz 12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4d…c0cfbacked Alcaraz 76c1,173$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.51650%8 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Fritz 9c1,149$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.61020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+84.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf1b…991ebacked Fritz 18c1,120$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6b…6509backed Fritz 9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002050%10 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+78.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Fritz 8c1,101$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5618740.6%76 W · 111 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf901…2264backed Alcaraz 79c1,095$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.74850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Fritz 20c1,050$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9922021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8704…4b8dbacked Fritz 9c1,011$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-68.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Fritz 7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Fritz 25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8811652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Fritz 13c900$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Fritz 9c881.12$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4225330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8be4…58d9backed Fritz 5c880$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Fritz 17c841.74$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.14042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Alcaraz 80c836.6$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.911859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59a5…3d26backed Fritz 10c824.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630e…2f2fbacked Fritz 12c816.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7af6…9508backed Fritz 4c799.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b9…4267backed Alcaraz 76c658.16$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.164450%22 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3124…014bbacked Fritz 8c645.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.862030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-30.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Fritz 9c620.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8896035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fritz 18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Fritz 18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063942.4%271 W · 368 L+1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9c…0fe6backed Fritz 11c552.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.982166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c3…b35abacked Fritz 18c500.56$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.13348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Fritz 27c500$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1336540%26 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2466…e4afbacked Fritz 10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3550…68b6backed Fritz 25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+274.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3210…5c4ebacked Fritz 26c499.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Fritz 17c499.87$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9866831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Fritz 25c496$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7740…cbcdbacked Fritz 6c469$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.141838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Fritz 17c460$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.21838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcd…d75bbacked Fritz 12c458.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-81.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Alcaraz 75c444.44$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.593933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Fritz 13c441.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1312927.1%35 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…d744backed Alcaraz 76c407.89$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.891513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-72.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Fritz 9c401$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.115757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e8…dde4backed Fritz 25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Alcaraz 76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7438348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb597…0c85backed Fritz 25c394.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Alcaraz 80c386.98$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.273243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…f6fabacked Fritz 12c382.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4540%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e7…9513backed Fritz 27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…060ebacked Fritz 12c370$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.522326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5439…d594backed Fritz 12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.