Tennis · resolved market

ATP Toronto – Cobolli vs. Marozsan

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19e99f329fa0c324a61fd1cb93dc0177c0b963b8fd8c77cac4c9a8de6e5f4a8c

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cobolliof Cobolli, Marozsan
Resolved: Aug 1, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $112,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $116,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,466 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfba6…375cbacked Cobolli	50c	18,000$9,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,940	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Marozsan	43c	14,849$6,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,372.8	178	33.1%59 W · 119 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Marozsan	54c	11,125$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	81	42%34 W · 47 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Marozsan	40c	9,564$3,818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,818.44	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Marozsan	40c	9,013$3,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,622.81	391	44.2%173 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Cobolli	69c	6,000$4,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,860	669	49.6%332 W · 337 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Cobolli	51c	5,620$2,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,734.8	579	39.7%230 W · 349 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Marozsan	15c	5,350$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.04	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+9.2wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+2,177.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Marozsan	31c	5,028$1,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,558.68	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Cobolli	47c	3,712$1,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,965.26	761	46.6%355 W · 406 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Marozsan	38c	3,474$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,310.15	321	41.1%132 W · 189 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5df4…342cbacked Marozsan	53c	3,473$1,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,840.54	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf557…18debacked Cobolli	66c	3,083$2,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,048.24	63	76.2%48 W · 15 L	+11.0wins	+0.17per pick	59cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Marozsan	26c	2,913$758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$757.64	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cobolli	79c	2,633$2,089 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.95	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Cobolli	51c	2,270$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.48	260	39.2%102 W · 158 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Marozsan	50c	2,178$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.24	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe274…ee86backed Marozsan	17c	2,152$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.53	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cobolli	71c	1,983$1,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.21	1,107	42.8%474 W · 633 L	-20.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Cobolli	72c	1,972$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.29	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Marozsan	54c	1,852$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	960	35.4%340 W · 620 L	-40.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Cobolli	76c	1,546$1,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.15	58	67.2%39 W · 19 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Marozsan	2c	1,477$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.19	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Cobolli	49c	1,429$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.58	161	40.4%65 W · 96 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Cobolli	66c	1,339$879 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.87	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Cobolli	49c	1,300$637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Marozsan	26c	1,137$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	488	51.6%252 W · 236 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Marozsan	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	97	42.3%41 W · 56 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Marozsan	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cobolli	48c	666.82$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.71	951	40.1%381 W · 570 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Marozsan	51c	644.12$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.5	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Marozsan	50c	554.99$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.5	223	44.8%100 W · 123 L	-13.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Marozsan	51c	499.98$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.99	159	57.2%91 W · 68 L	+15.8wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x69cd…06f3backed Cobolli	49c	489.8$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.8	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Marozsan	46c	414.63$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.73	154	52.6%81 W · 73 L	+10.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cobolli	49c	404.08$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.08	731	47.9%350 W · 381 L	-16.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Cobolli	49c	400.49$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.39	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Cobolli	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	154	39.6%61 W · 93 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Cobolli	52c	400$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194	183	38.8%71 W · 112 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Cobolli	76c	300$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb5cb…64e0backed Marozsan	49c	287.73$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.99	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Marozsan	51c	285.96$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.84	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Cobolli	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	68cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Marozsan	52c	239.09$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.72	496	32.3%160 W · 336 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Cobolli	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	245	29.8%73 W · 172 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cobolli	50c	200.43$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.43	639	42.4%271 W · 368 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cobolli	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	480	43.3%208 W · 272 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed Marozsan	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	204	31.4%64 W · 140 L	+7.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c54…cc1ebacked Cobolli	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Marozsan	43c	191.41$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.6	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Marozsan	53c	169.79$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.99	65	35.4%23 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x639e…a9d4backed Cobolli	55c	164.57$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.57	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Marozsan	39c	143.77$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.97	316	50%158 W · 158 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Cobolli	77c	130$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.47	439	48.5%213 W · 226 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeee1…a7aabacked Marozsan	51c	121$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.71	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Cobolli	45c	115.99$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.79	125	52.8%66 W · 59 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Cobolli	70c	114.57$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.57	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Cobolli	52c	111.99$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.76	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+86.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Cobolli	53c	103.77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.77	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e8…dde4backed Cobolli	56c	103.66$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.61	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eac…e064backed Marozsan	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Cobolli	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Cobolli	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	252	44.4%112 W · 140 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Cobolli	62c	89$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.45	267	46.1%123 W · 144 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Marozsan	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	372	33.9%126 W · 246 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Marozsan	25c	78.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	360	40%144 W · 216 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ca…198bbacked Cobolli	58c	75.56$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.76	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Cobolli	53c	74.79$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.79	2,335	46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L	+55.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd0…bbdfbacked Marozsan	49c	60.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.73	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Marozsan	47c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	122	56.6%69 W · 53 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f7…facbbacked Cobolli	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f4d…6be0backed Cobolli	51c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Cobolli	67c	48$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.78	56	66.1%37 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Marozsan	49c	46.67$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.78	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Marozsan	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	88	58%51 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc921…5279backed Marozsan	50c	39.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58e…3af7backed Cobolli	78c	36.27$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.98	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3021…f925backed Cobolli	54c	35.9$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.62	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaece…c992backed Marozsan	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Cobolli	49c	35$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.85	1,489	32.6%486 W · 1,003 L	+22.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Marozsan	46c	31.61$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.39	72	36.1%26 W · 46 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaef9…3b47backed Marozsan	46c	31.11$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a33…83abbacked Cobolli	54c	23.26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.74	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Marozsan	47c	22.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.51	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0d…786fbacked Marozsan	54c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

ATP Toronto – Cobolli vs. Marozsan

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market