MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8e3295e3e6532003eeffc0977576277026b49ce21760264ebf9b7cef8571afb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Yankees, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $773,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $774,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $773,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Blue Jays | 45c | 416,770$188,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227,923.58 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yankees | 55c | 352,822$192,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192,825.3 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees | 54c | 80,062$43,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,129.37 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 52,773$23,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,025.09 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yankees | 54c | 46,230$24,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,963.95 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Yankees | 55c | 28,088$15,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,429.92 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Yankees | 57c | 22,673$13,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,015.03 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yankees | 18c | 17,219$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.81 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Blue Jays | 64c | 11,421$7,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.43 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Yankees | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 69c | 9,853$6,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yankees | 3c | 7,850$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 31c | 6,429$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 53c | 5,764$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.71 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yankees | 26c | 5,551$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 25c | 5,467$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.53 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yankees | 55c | 5,384$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.26 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 51c | 5,200$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Blue Jays | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yankees | 54c | 3,883$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.04 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 3,641$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.57 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Yankees | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8aa…ae12backed Yankees | 42c | 3,463$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays | 46c | 3,373$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.42 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…509abacked Yankees | 2c | 3,040$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Blue Jays | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.98 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays | 57c | 2,849$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.34 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Blue Jays | 79c | 2,549$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.93 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc17…4254backed Blue Jays | 47c | 2,434$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Blue Jays | 45c | 2,400$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yankees | 55c | 2,389$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Yankees | 54c | 2,187$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.98 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yankees | 55c | 2,119$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.88 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Yankees | 16c | 1,525$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 30c | 1,467$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.55 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yankees | 5c | 1,435$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Blue Jays | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.37 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f5…951cbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 1,300$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…c8babacked Yankees | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Yankees | 43c | 1,164$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.34 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 27c | 1,040$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.81 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 53c | 1,005$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.1 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Yankees | 41c | 978.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Yankees | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed Yankees | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 47c | 850$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yankees | 53c | 832.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.82 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 45c | 828.85$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.87 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Yankees | 37c | 816.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 54c | 785$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.9 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yankees | 52c | 766.19$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.02 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 55c | 716$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.32 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 692.39$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.89 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Yankees | 31c | 669.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.08 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yankees | 19c | 660.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yankees | 27c | 635$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7108…0252backed Blue Jays | 46c | 605$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Yankees | 21c | 600$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 52c | 579.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.06 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Blue Jays | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yankees | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yankees | 37c | 500$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked Blue Jays | 79c | 474.8$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yankees | 54c | 467$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.18 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Yankees | 53c | 462.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.38 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 455.58$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Yankees | 55c | 446$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.3 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Blue Jays | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yankees | 54c | 409.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.82 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Blue Jays | 47c | 405.6$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.97 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Yankees | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 68c | 395$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 17c | 391.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yankees | 51c | 388.21$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.3 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Yankees | 39c | 370.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.18 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Yankees | 26c | 355.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…46c8backed Yankees | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Yankees | 54c | 340.09$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.65 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 35c | 324.16$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Blue Jays | 45c | 321.11$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 54c | 320$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yankees | 36c | 320$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Blue Jays | 63c | 318$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 314.27$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yankees | 5c | 312$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 311.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 56c | 301.03$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Blue Jays | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 57c | 273.82$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.16 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Yankees | 17c | 260.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yankees | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.