TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sheltonof Shelton, Sonego
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$343,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$356,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Shelton78c100,438$78,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,205.6211230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Sonego 22c46,684$10,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,420.549652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Sonego 21c41,217$8,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,755.528043.2%121 W · 159 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Shelton77c32,716$25,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,524.623641.7%15 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Sonego 23c32,032$7,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,246.879137.4%34 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sonego 45c25,554$11,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,501.741,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sonego 20c21,551$4,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,228.5539144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Shelton77c14,648$11,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3722725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Shelton74c13,995$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.4213253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Sonego 24c12,213$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.751838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Sonego 25c10,984$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,781.0332141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Sonego 22c9,560$2,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.232317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Sonego 22c8,500$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89515452.6%81 W · 73 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Shelton57c8,068$4,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,431.981,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb50f…1046backed Shelton56c7,696$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,396.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Sonego 23c6,874$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.9713934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5976…91f9backed Sonego 25c6,258$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.31921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sonego 22c6,063$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.7862742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Sonego 23c5,622$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.989130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Sonego 23c5,282$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.951540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Shelton53c5,026$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.872445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Sonego 49c5,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46060753.7%326 W · 281 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Sonego 23c4,913$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1303240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed Shelton52c4,749$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.017356.2%41 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Sonego 22c4,000$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88543042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed Shelton72c3,463$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.182718.5%5 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-65.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf65backed Shelton71c2,829$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.91833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22e…f52cbacked Sonego 37c2,698$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.255525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0447…60abbacked Shelton78c2,514$1,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.182075%15 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Shelton62c2,451$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.8610845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Sonego 29c2,247$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.432360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Shelton78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44025244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Sonego 14c1,724$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.512347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…d744backed Sonego 10c1,721$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.051513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-72.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Sonego 14c1,281$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.527335.6%26 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Sonego 32c1,279$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.0937330.3%113 W · 260 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x763f…81e9backed Shelton78c1,260$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.262759.3%16 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Sonego 33c1,247$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.191526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Shelton70c1,230$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.212954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Shelton65c1,184$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.5738348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Sonego 27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9722344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Sonego 14c1,106$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5667131.3%210 W · 461 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sonego 23c1,075$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.41,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Sonego 27c1,020$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.925330%76 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Sonego 22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22029636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…a496backed Sonego 9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904940.8%20 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf884…f5b2backed Sonego 31c994.39$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.261172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Sonego 19c856$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.798718.4%16 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Shelton80c840$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.512134.7%42 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Sonego 25c820$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20526039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Sonego 29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23211652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Sonego 19c800$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15111927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Shelton61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3121,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Sonego 12c766.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.846127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Sonego 24c732.63$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.831421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-63.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Shelton71c703$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20312038.3%46 W · 74 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Sonego 26c672.18$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7752844.7%236 W · 292 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6385…93f2backed Shelton56c668.86$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked Shelton76c650.52$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.123138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Sonego 35c630$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.912737%47 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Shelton80c600$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1237955.7%44 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Sonego 22c590$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.82133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Shelton76c563.53$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.252,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdfb…e569backed Shelton78c546.78$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.291275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d22…302abacked Shelton62c523.21$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.711675%12 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Shelton66c516.48$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1714456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Shelton79c510.82$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.655822.4%13 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Shelton76c499.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12031650%158 W · 158 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac6…f6eabacked Sonego 23c481.79$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Sonego 22c455$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.15552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Shelton73c449.99$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12362952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e8…dde4backed Shelton56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.433441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Sonego 34c442.17$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.237028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d5…e8c9backed Shelton78c429.79$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.551656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed Sonego 24c426.42$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.346139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6103…7a65backed Shelton78c424.38$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.474100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c3…b35abacked Sonego 21c423.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.053348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Sonego 50c402.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Shelton75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45e…605fbacked Shelton76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702b…d274backed Sonego 22c373.69$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.991435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Sonego 24c368.93$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.15540%22 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Sonego 22c349.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.52744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Shelton77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.68875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Sonego 19c323.94$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.932,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Shelton76c317.23$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.233447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Sonego 23c316$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.687943%34 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Sonego 23c300.47$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.111346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Shelton65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1056540%26 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Sonego 23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Shelton72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Shelton51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14718338.8%71 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Shelton73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Shelton79c289.77$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.197521.3%16 W · 59 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Sonego 35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Sonego 23c275.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Shelton74c273.78$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.186835.3%24 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd10…f4bcbacked Shelton74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.271080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sonego 9c260$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.414345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Shelton78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4148043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.