WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba7cd96d1f371311793a6e46d9bcf3790588c60668f49c0352ddb76e42e2c2ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Storm, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Storm | 55c | 6,355$3,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Storm | 53c | 4,444$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.68 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dream | 47c | 3,115$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dream | 48c | 2,340$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.35 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Storm | 64c | 2,155$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dream | 47c | 2,124$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.03 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Dream | 50c | 2,010$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Storm | 42c | 1,729$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.93 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dream | 24c | 1,219$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.88 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dream | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.25 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Dream | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Storm | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Storm | 49c | 734.69$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.69 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Dream | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Storm | 42c | 715.83$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.36 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Storm | 35c | 309.24$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dream | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Storm | 53c | 234$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dream | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Storm | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dream | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Storm | 34c | 108$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Storm | 48c | 104.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Dream | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac7…3a34backed Storm | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…dde4backed Storm | 51c | 99.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Dream | 48c | 94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Dream | 51c | 92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Storm | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Dream | 63c | 79.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Dream | 46c | 76.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Storm | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Dream | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Storm | 54c | 53.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Storm | 55c | 49.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Dream | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Dream | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Dream | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Dream | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Dream | 63c | 35.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Storm | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Storm | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…ad74backed Storm | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.